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Date	Match Up	Rating	Score	Result	Profit	Lead Time	Analysis
02-03-19	Patriots v. Rams +3		13-3	Loss	-110	119 h 7 m	Show

01-20-19	Rams v. Saints -3		26-23	Loss	-116	44 h 22 m	Show
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: Since 1989, dogs off of two or more straight games where they scored 19 or more points before the half are just 22-72-0 SU (23.4%) and 34-55-5 (38.2%) ATS in their next. - Fade the Rams and Patriots this week. KEY TEAM TREND OF THE WEEK: The Chiefs are 11-35-4 OU (-4.67 ppg) since Nov 06, 2011 as a home favorite Always stay away from a live dog. The Rams are currently backed by over 55% of the public bets as a road dog in the dome.
01-13-19	Eagles +9.5 v. Saints		14-20	Win	100	93 h 13 m	Show
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: Since 2004,teams playing their second straight road game or more are, on the blind, 509-411-20 (55.3% ATS). By simply playing a lot on the road (that's it, nothing else), it seems that teams, Automatically get Under-valued. Play on the Colts, Chargers, Eagles this week KEY TEAM TREND OF THE WEEK: The Patriots are 23-1 ATS (+14.82 ppg) on turf vs non-divisional opponent that is averaging 13+ passing first downs per game, including last season's super bowl vs the Falcons. The Patriots are 39-15-1 ATS (5.18 ppg) since Sep 22, 2013 at homeThe Chiefs are 18-48-5 OU (-4.38 ppg) since Oct 31, 2010 at homeSince 2010, teams that just played the Seattle Seahawks are just 33-57-4 ATS 36.7% in their next game. (Fade the Cowboys this week if they're looking beat up as per the concept of this trend)The Chiefs are 0-15ATS (-4.77 ppg) as a home favorite off a win as a favorite when they are facing an opponent that is averaging fewer than 27 rushes per game.The Eagles are 12-0 ATS (+9.96 ppg) as a road dog by more than 4 points when seeking same-season revenge.Key NFL Margins: 3, 7, 10, 6, 4, 14, 2, 1, 8, 17, 13, 21 Key NFL Totals: 44, 41, 37, 51, 43, 40, 47, 33, 48, 30, 45, 55, 34, 27, 36, 52
01-12-19	Cowboys +8.5 v. Rams		22-30	Win	100	36 h 19 m	Show
In database history, second half of the season home favorites of five points or more averaging 24 or more ppg are just 49-76-3 ATS (39.2%). Fade the Rams
01-12-19	Colts +5.5 v. Chiefs		13-31	Loss	-109	69 h 8 m	Show
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: Since 2004,teams playing their second straight road game or more are, on the blind, 509-411-20 (55.3% ATS). By simply playing a lot on the road (that's it, nothing else), it seems that teams, Automatically get Under-valued. Play on the Colts, Chargers, Eagles this week KEY TEAM TREND OF THE WEEK: The Patriots are 23-1 ATS (+14.82 ppg) on turf vs non-divisional opponent that is averaging 13+ passing first downs per game, including last season's super bowl vs the Falcons. The Patriots are 39-15-1 ATS (5.18 ppg) since Sep 22, 2013 at homeThe Chiefs are 18-48-5 OU (-4.38 ppg) since Oct 31, 2010 at homeSince 2010, teams that just played the Seattle Seahawks are just 33-57-4 ATS 36.7% in their next game. (Fade the Cowboys this week if they're looking beat up as per the concept of this trend)The Chiefs are 0-15ATS (-4.77 ppg) as a home favorite off a win as a favorite when they are facing an opponent that is averaging fewer than 27 rushes per game.The Eagles are 12-0 ATS (+9.96 ppg) as a road dog by more than 4 points when seeking same-season revenge.Key NFL Margins: 3, 7, 10, 6, 4, 14, 2, 1, 8, 17, 13, 21 Key NFL Totals: 44, 41, 37, 51, 43, 40, 47, 33, 48, 30, 45, 55, 34, 27, 36, 52
01-07-19	Alabama v. Clemson +6		16-44	Win	100	99 h 32 m	Show
CLEM is 32-13 ATS (5.81 ppg) since Oct 11, 2003 as a dogCLEM is 13-0 since Sep 08, 2018 off a winAlmost 60% of the public bets are on Alabama. Let's take the points on Clemson here.
01-06-19	Eagles +7 v. Bears		16-15	Win	100	47 h 12 m	Show
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: Since 2004,teams playing their second straight road game or more are, on the blind, 509-411-20 (55.3% ATS). By simply playing a lot on the road (that's it, nothing else), it seems that teams, Automatically get Under-valued. - Take the Eagles this week
01-06-19	Chargers v. Ravens -1		23-17	Loss	-120	139 h 24 m	Show
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: Since 2003, sub .500 road teams on a losing ats streak are 562-417-22 ATS (57.4%) against plus.500 teams on a winning ats streak. Play on the Ravens
01-05-19	Seahawks +2.5 v. Cowboys		22-24	Win	100	27 h 49 m	Show
Since 1998, a team off of a win as a dog by 5 or fewer points and went Over the total is just 70-113-6 38.3% ATS next week. - Fade the Cowboys
12-30-18	Eagles v. Redskins +7.5		24-0	Loss	-139	69 h 0 m	Show
Since 1989, teams that won the last matchup that took place in a previous season off of a win where the total went Over now facing a team off a match where the total also went Over are just 152-218-5ATS (40.5%) in Sunday games. Play on the Redskins
12-30-18	Panthers +8.5 v. Saints	Top	33-14	Win	100	66 h 38 m	Show
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: Since 1989, Teams on a 7 game or worse losing streak are 97-61-6 61.4% ATS next week. - Panthers this week as Top Play!
12-23-18	Bengals +10 v. Browns		18-26	Win	100	91 h 36 m	Show
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: 3rd down % defense system: Play on teams allowing a significantly less 3rd down completion percentage than what their opponents that they've faced(season to date averages) are allowing: These teams are 131-74-12 ATS 63.9% in database history. (20181216, 'Falcons'), (20181216, 'Dolphins'), (20181223, 'Bengals'), (20181223, 'Falcons')
12-23-18	Falcons -3.5 v. Panthers		24-10	Win	100	91 h 36 m	Show
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: 3rd down % defense system: Play on teams allowing a significantly less 3rd down completion percentage than what their opponents that they've faced(season to date averages) are allowing: These teams are 131-74-12 ATS 63.9% in database history. (20181216, 'Falcons'), (20181216, 'Dolphins'), (20181223, 'Bengals'), (20181223, 'Falcons')
12-23-18	Giants +10.5 v. Colts		27-28	Win	100	67 h 3 m	Show
Since 1998, a team off of a win as a dog by 5 or fewer points and went Over the total is just 70-113-6 38.3% ATS next week.The Giants are 9-0 ATS (5.00 ppg) since Sep 23, 2018 as a road dog
12-22-18	Ravens +4.5 v. Chargers	Top	22-10	Win	100	51 h 46 m	Show
TOP PLAY SYSTEM: Since 1989, the team with the lessor team record is 192-113-11 ATS (63.0%) in regular season, post week 15. No totals below 35. - Active this week on the Ravens TOP TEAM TREND OF THE WEEK: The Ravens are 17-0 ATS (+7.27 ppg) on the road off a win as a favorite in which their opponent scored first.
12-16-18	Cardinals +10 v. Falcons		14-40	Loss	-113	68 h 30 m	Show
In database history, second half of the season home favorites of five points or more averaging 24 or more ppg are just 49-76-3 ATS (39.2%). - Fade the Falcons
12-15-18	Browns v. Broncos -2.5		17-16	Loss	-109	52 h 51 m	Show
The Broncos are 10-0 ATS (+10.35 ppg) after a game in which Demaryius Thomas had fewer than 3 receptions.
12-14-18	South Dakota State v. North Dakota State -7.5		21-44	Win	100	100 h 5 m	Show
NCAAF SYSTEM OF FOR BOWL SEASON: Since 2003, large favorites between -31 and -20.5 off of 3+ straight games where they put up 37 points or more are 76-38-3 ATS Look to play on NDST
12-13-18	Chargers +3.5 v. Chiefs		29-28	Win	100	76 h 26 m	Show
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: Since 2004, road teams withing 3.5 pts of pick'em are 32-6 ATS 84.2% after week 9 after two+ straight games allowing zero turnovers. - Active on the Chargers this week KEY SDQL SYSTEMS AND TRENDS: The Panthers are 17-0 OU (+12.0 ppg) since Ron Rivera became their coach in 2011 as a dog of more than six points -- hence the nickname '''Riverboat Ron. The Chargers are 21-1 ATS (+8.50 ppg) when visiting any team with more wins, as long as their opponent is not seeking same-season revenge for a loss by more than a TD.
12-09-18	Bengals +15.5 v. Chargers		21-26	Win	100	86 h 22 m	Show
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: 3rd down % defense system: Play on teams allowing a significantly less 3rd down completion percentage than what their opponents that they've faced(season to date averages) are allowing: These teams are 131-74-12 ATS 63.9% in database history. (20181209, 'Bengals'), (20181209, 'Falcons')
12-09-18	Falcons +6 v. Packers		20-34	Loss	-120	83 h 16 m	Show
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: 3rd down % defense system: Play on teams allowing a significantly less 3rd down completion percentage than what their opponents that they've faced(season to date averages) are allowing: These teams are 131-74-12 ATS 63.9% in database history. (20181209, 'Bengals'), (20181209, 'Falcons')
12-03-18	Redskins +7 v. Eagles		13-28	Loss	-130	50 h 28 m	Show
The Redskins are 14-0 ATS (+6.71 ppg) off a game as a road dog when they are facing a divisional opponent that has allowed a season-to-date average third down conversion percentage of less than 40%. Since 1989, teams that put up fewer passing yards than their opp. in a loss last game and fewer rushing yards as well are a solid 123-80-5 (+3.1 ppg, 60.6%) ATS if it is their second or more straight game on the road. Take the Redskins this week!
12-02-18	Vikings v. Patriots -4.5		10-24	Win	100	117 h 39 m	Show
KEY SDQL SYSTEMS AND TRENDS: *3rd down % defense system: Play on teams allowing a significantly less 3rd down completion percentage than what their opponents that they've faced(season to date averages) are allowing: These teams are 131-74-12 ATS 63.9% in database history. (20181202, 'Bengals'), (20181202, 'Falcons'), (20181202, 'Patriots'), (20181209, 'Bengals'), (20181209, 'Falcons') *Since 1989, teams off of 3 or more straight games with zero turnovers are 73-35-4 67.6% ATS. - Active this week on the Patriots and Cowboys
12-02-18	Bills +3.5 v. Dolphins		17-21	Loss	-107	19 h 13 m	Show
and margin
11-25-18	Giants +7 v. Eagles		22-25	Win	100	115 h 16 m	Show
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: Since 1995, 1 point favs, pick'ems or underdogs that just had 2 or fewer turnovers last game are 57-28-3 67.1% ATS against a team off of a game with a 3 point or worse turnover margin (regular season). Active this week on the Giants
11-25-18	Jaguars v. Bills +3		21-24	Win	100	44 h 45 m	Show
The Jaguars are 0-13 ATS (-10.35 ppg) when they are off a loss and facing a non-divisional opponent that had fewer regular season wins the previous season.The Bills are 13-0 ATS (+6.15 ppg) as a dog vs a non-divisional opponent when they are off a road game in which they outgained their opponent.
11-24-18	Hawaii v. San Diego State -17		31-30	Loss	-105	101 h 54 m	Show
Anything but a home dog has gone 25-54-0 ATS (30%) in database history after allowing over 6.5 yards per rush in 2+ straight games.
11-24-18	Temple -29 v. Connecticut		57-7	Win	100	94 h 54 m	Show
NCAAF SYSTEM OF FOR WEEK 14: Since 2004, -21 to -31 point conference Favorites off of 2+ straight double digit conference wins have gone 102-40-2 ATS - Active this week on Temple
11-18-18	Titans v. Colts -1	Top	10-38	Win	100	101 h 52 m	Show
KEY SYSTEMS AND TRENDS: A plus .500 team off of a win as a home dog. 90-149-8 ATS 37.7% in database history. - Fade the Titans this week! The Titans are 0-19 ATS (-9.25 ppg) off a win when they are facing a team allowed more than 370 total yards in their last game.
11-17-18	Indiana v. Michigan -27.5		20-31	Loss	-108	132 h 7 m	Show
Playing a home favorite of 34 or fewer points off of a 35+ pt. blowout is 107-40-3 ATS (72.8%) facing a sub .660 team off of a high scoring game.
11-11-18	Seahawks +10.5 v. Rams	Top	31-36	Win	100	70 h 21 m	Show
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: Not so much a system as a series of powerful coaching trends: Under Pete Carroll, the Seattle Seahawks are an amazing 66-42-3 ATS 61.1% with under a week of rest. If it is regular season and after week 2 and Pete and the Seahawks aren't going into another short week (next game isn't on a Thursday), that record soars to 61-29-3 67.8% ATS! EXTRA SYSTEM : Since 1989, teams off of 3 or more straight games with zero turnovers are 73-35-4 67.6% ATS. Take the Panthers this week. EXTRA SYSTEM: 3rd down % defense system: Play on teams allowing a significantly less 3rd down completion percentage than what their opponents that they've faced(season to date averages) are allowing: These teams are 131-74-12 ATS 63.9% in database history. (20181111, 'Bengals'), (20181111, 'Falcons') KEY TEAM TREND OF THE WEEK: The Rams are 0-10 ATS (-7.55 ppg) as a home favorite over a divisional opponent that had fewer regular season wins the previous season. The Browns are 0-20 since Dec 20, 2015 off a home gameThe Seahawks are 8-0 since Oct 22, 2015 off a home game off a loss
11-11-18	Dolphins v. Packers -10		12-31	Win	102	70 h 17 m	Show

11-10-18	Northwestern +10.5 v. Iowa		14-10	Win	100	48 h 1 m	Show
NCAAF SYSTEM OF FOR WEEK 11: In matchups between two plus .500 teams the road dog is 136-76-4 64.2% ATS against the home favorite off of a 1-11 pt. conference loss. Active on NORW, URI, MIS this week. TENT is 0-36 since Sep 15, 1984 on the roadNORW is 8-0 ATS (14.50 ppg) since Oct 24, 2015 as a road dogURI is 8-2 ATS (6.80 ppg) since Aug 31, 2017
11-10-18	Ole Miss +13 v. Texas A&M		24-38	Loss	-105	45 h 31 m	Show
NCAAF SYSTEM OF FOR WEEK 11: In matchups between two plus .500 teams the road dog is 136-76-4 64.2% ATS against the home favorite off of a 1-11 pt. conference loss. Active on NORW, URI, MIS this week. TENT is 0-36 since Sep 15, 1984 on the roadNORW is 8-0 ATS (14.50 ppg) since Oct 24, 2015 as a road dogURI is 8-2 ATS (6.80 ppg) since Aug 31, 2017
11-08-18	Panthers +3.5 v. Steelers		21-52	Loss	-110	2 h 17 m	Show
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: Not so much a system as a series of powerful coaching trends: Under Pete Carroll, the Seattle Seahawks are an amazing 66-42-3 ATS 61.1% with under a week of rest. If it is regular season and after week 2 and Pete and the Seahawks aren't going into another short week (next game isn't on a Thursday), that record soars to 61-29-3 67.8% ATS! EXTRA SYSTEM : Since 1989, teams off of 3 or more straight games with zero turnovers are 73-35-4 67.6% ATS. Take the Panthers this week. EXTRA SYSTEM: 3rd down % defense system: Play on teams allowing a significantly less 3rd down completion percentage than what their opponents that they've faced(season to date averages) are allowing: These teams are 131-74-12 ATS 63.9% in database history. (20181111, 'Bengals'), (20181111, 'Falcons') KEY TEAM TREND OF THE WEEK: The Rams are 0-10 ATS (-7.55 ppg) as a home favorite over a divisional opponent that had fewer regular season wins the previous season. The Browns are 0-20 since Dec 20, 2015 off a home gameThe Seahawks are 8-0 since Oct 22, 2015 off a home game off a loss
11-04-18	Rams v. Saints +1.5		35-45	Win	100	71 h 25 m	Show
Since 2004,teams playing their second straight road game or more are, on the blind, 509-411-20 (55.3% ATS). By simply playing a lot on the road (that's it, nothing else), it seems that teams, Automatically get Under-valued. Saints
11-04-18	Bucs +7 v. Panthers		28-42	Loss	-135	68 h 3 m	Show
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK:A plus .500 team off of a win as a home dog. 90-149-8 ATS 37.7% in database history. Fade the Panthers
11-03-18	Fresno State -24.5 v. UNLV		48-3	Win	100	126 h 18 m	Show
Since 1989, teams off of 2+ straight >27 pt. blowout wins is 112-44-1 71.8% ATS against a team that just allowed over 36 points last game. Ohio U and Fresno
11-01-18	Raiders +3 v. 49ers		3-34	Loss	-140	3 h 18 m	Show
The Fortyniners are 0-12-2 ATS (-5.96 ppg) since Dec 08, 2013 as a home favorite
11-01-18	Ohio +2 v. Western Michigan		59-14	Win	100	75 h 48 m	Show
Since 1989, teams off of 2+ straight >27 pt. blowout wins is 112-44-1 71.8% ATS against a team that just allowed over 36 points last game. Ohio U and Fresno
10-29-18	Patriots -13 v. Bills		25-6	Win	100	171 h 24 m	Show
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: Since 2004,teams playing their second straight road game or more are, on the blind, 509-411-20 (55.3% ATS). By simply playing a lot on the road (that's it, nothing else), it seems that teams, Automatically get Under-valued. Active this upcoming week on the Broncos, Browns, Saints, Patriots RUNNER UP SYSTEM: The OU is 5-18-0 (21.7%) since 2012 when you have a +8 or bigger home dog. Active on the Unders in Buffalo and NY(Jets) KEY TEAM TREND OF THE WEEK: The Jaguars are 16-0 OU (+12.25 ppg) in franchise history on grass off a home loss in which they never led and they are facing a team that is averaging less than 1.6 turnovers per game. The Raiders are 0-18 ATS (-9.03 ppg) off a game as a dog when they are on grass vs a non-divisional opponent that has allowed an average of 370-plus yards per game season-to-date. *The Vikings are 15-0 ATS (+7.15 ppg) vs a non-divisional opponent after a game in which they had more punts than third downs made.
10-28-18	Saints +1.5 v. Vikings		30-20	Win	100	147 h 29 m	Show
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: Since 2004,teams playing their second straight road game or more are, on the blind, 509-411-20 (55.3% ATS). By simply playing a lot on the road (that's it, nothing else), it seems that teams, Automatically get Under-valued. Active this upcoming week on the Broncos, Browns, Saints, Patriots RUNNER UP SYSTEM: The OU is 5-18-0 (21.7%) since 2012 when you have a +8 or bigger home dog. Active on the Unders in Buffalo and NY(Jets) KEY TEAM TREND OF THE WEEK: The Jaguars are 16-0 OU (+12.25 ppg) in franchise history on grass off a home loss in which they never led and they are facing a team that is averaging less than 1.6 turnovers per game. The Raiders are 0-18 ATS (-9.03 ppg) off a game as a dog when they are on grass vs a non-divisional opponent that has allowed an average of 370-plus yards per game season-to-date. *The Vikings are 15-0 ATS (+7.15 ppg) vs a non-divisional opponent after a game in which they had more punts than third downs made.
10-28-18	Packers +10.5 v. Rams		27-29	Win	100	69 h 19 m	Show

10-28-18	49ers v. Cardinals +1.5	Top	15-18	Win	100	48 h 19 m	Show
KEY SYSTEM: *Since 2002, the league is 167-129-9 ATS (59.4%) after losing by 24 or more points (20181028, 'Bengals'), (20181028, 'Cardinals'), (20181029, 'Bills')
10-28-18	Seahawks v. Lions -3		28-14	Loss	-104	92 h 47 m	Show
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: In database history, playing on a team with zero turnovers in their last 3 or more games has gone 69-35-4 ATS (66.3%). Active this week to bet on the Lions over the Seahawks this week!
10-28-18	Ravens -2.5 v. Panthers		21-36	Loss	-115	43 h 16 m	Show
All the way back to 1989 (database history), road teams off of a tight 4 point or fewer loss have done great next game at a 500-409-32 55.0% ATS clip on the blind! (Ravens, Browns this week)
10-27-18	Washington v. California +10.5		10-12	Win	100	124 h 18 m	Show
NCAAF SYSTEM OF FOR WEEK 9:In Database History, the OU is 204-293-1 (41.0%) when a team that just played a game as a favorite with a time of possession over over 22 minutes and less than 30. (Click thru the link to see the actives...quite a few this week) RUNNER UP KEY SYSTEM: A home team off of a 35+ pt. win is 648-485-22 (57.2%) ATS as long as the opp. isn't off of a road win. KEY TEAM TRENDS FOR WEEK 9: ORST is 0-22 since Oct 25, 2014 on the road USC is 19-0 since Oct 24, 2015 at home KAN is 0-17 since Nov 29, 2014 off a road game off a loss OHU is 7-2 ATS (8.67 ppg) since Sep 02, 2017 at home *WAS is 3-9 ATS (-3.00 ppg) since Nov 10, 2017 Key CFB ines: 3, 7, 14, 10, 4, 21, 1, 17, 6, 24, 5, 2, 28, 18, 8, 11, 20, 31 Key CFB totals: 55, 51, 45, 41, 52, 48, 44, 58, 59, 37, 47, 65, 49, 69, 66, 62, 54, 34, 61, 38, 63
10-21-18	Saints v. Ravens -2.5		24-23	Loss	-109	70 h 34 m	Show
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: A plus .500 team off of a win as a home dog. 90-149-8 ATS 37.7% in database history. - Fade the Dolphins this week KEY TEAM TREND OF THE WEEK: The Browns are 0-23 since Oct 25, 2015 on the road + The Vikings are 0-15 ATS (-11.67 ppg) on the road when their opponent's season-to-date average pass attempts per game is fewer than 30. The Eagles are 0-14 OU (-8.46 ppg) as a favorite off a win as a favorite in which they scored 10+ points more than their season-to-date average.The Broncos are 0-14 OU (-10.12 ppg) when the line is within three of pick on grass when they are playing a team with a better record.The Broncos are 17-0 OU (+13.12 ppg) as a favorite vs a non-divisional opponent that had less than 26:15 minutes of possession time in their last game.The Broncos are 0-7 since Dec 25, 2016 on the road off a lossThe Broncos are 1-11 ATS (-11.21 ppg) since Dec 11, 2016 on the roadThe Cardinals are 27-13-1 ATS (4.02 ppg) since Oct 08, 2006 as a home dog
10-21-18	Titans +7 v. Chargers		19-20	Win	100	63 h 59 m	Show
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: A plus .500 team off of a win as a home dog. 90-149-8 ATS 37.7% in database history. - Fade the Dolphins this week KEY TEAM TREND OF THE WEEK: The Browns are 0-23 since Oct 25, 2015 on the road + The Vikings are 0-15 ATS (-11.67 ppg) on the road when their opponent's season-to-date average pass attempts per game is fewer than 30. The Eagles are 0-14 OU (-8.46 ppg) as a favorite off a win as a favorite in which they scored 10+ points more than their season-to-date average.The Broncos are 0-14 OU (-10.12 ppg) when the line is within three of pick on grass when they are playing a team with a better record.The Broncos are 17-0 OU (+13.12 ppg) as a favorite vs a non-divisional opponent that had less than 26:15 minutes of possession time in their last game.The Broncos are 0-7 since Dec 25, 2016 on the road off a lossThe Broncos are 1-11 ATS (-11.21 ppg) since Dec 11, 2016 on the roadThe Cardinals are 27-13-1 ATS (4.02 ppg) since Oct 08, 2006 as a home dog
10-20-18	Miami-OH v. Army -7.5		30-31	Loss	-105	114 h 21 m	Show
NCAAF SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: #003 - A home favorite off of a blowout (52+ pt) win as a favorite is 306-177-15 63.4% ATS as long as neither team played at a neutral site last game. (Take Army next week!)
10-18-18	Broncos v. Cardinals +2		45-10	Loss	-110	2 h 49 m	Show
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: A plus .500 team off of a win as a home dog. 90-149-8 ATS 37.7% in database history. - Fade the Dolphins this week KEY TEAM TREND OF THE WEEK: The Browns are 0-23 since Oct 25, 2015 on the road + The Vikings are 0-15 ATS (-11.67 ppg) on the road when their opponent's season-to-date average pass attempts per game is fewer than 30. The Eagles are 0-14 OU (-8.46 ppg) as a favorite off a win as a favorite in which they scored 10+ points more than their season-to-date average.The Broncos are 0-14 OU (-10.12 ppg) when the line is within three of pick on grass when they are playing a team with a better record.The Broncos are 17-0 OU (+13.12 ppg) as a favorite vs a non-divisional opponent that had less than 26:15 minutes of possession time in their last game.The Broncos are 0-7 since Dec 25, 2016 on the road off a lossThe Broncos are 1-11 ATS (-11.21 ppg) since Dec 11, 2016 on the roadThe Cardinals are 27-13-1 ATS (4.02 ppg) since Oct 08, 2006 as a home dog
10-14-18	Cardinals +10.5 v. Vikings		17-27	Win	100	144 h 12 m	Show
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: Since 1989, Winless Road Dogs or very small 1 or 1.5 pt favorites with at least 3 losses are a massive 65-29-3 (+3.58 ppg, 69.1%) ATS so long as they aren't facing an extremely elite team above 0.660 (Active on the Cardinals) NFL TEAM TREND OF THE WEEK: The Steelers are 0-14 OU (-9.86 ppg) on the road facing an opponent that is averaging at least 35 passes per game and they are not a four-plus point underdog.
10-14-18	Steelers v. Bengals -1		28-21	Loss	-125	143 h 34 m	Show
The Bengals are 9-3 ATS (1.00 ppg) since Nov 12, 2017The Steelers are 2-9 ATS (-3.36 ppg) since Nov 26, 2017
10-14-18	Seahawks -2.5 v. Raiders		27-3	Win	100	143 h 34 m	Show

10-13-18	Missouri v. Alabama -27.5		10-39	Win	100	49 h 1 m	Show
KEY ATS SYSTEM: Since 1989, teams off of 2+ straight >27 pt. blowout wins is 112-44-1 71.8% ATS against a team that just allowed over 36 points last game. (ALABAMA)
10-13-18	Washington -3.5 v. Oregon		27-30	Loss	-100	123 h 40 m	Show
NCAAF SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: A road team off of 3+ straight wins playing on a Saturday is 63-31-1 ATS if they played their last game on the road. (Take WAS, and UAB next week)
10-13-18	UAB -16 v. Rice		42-0	Win	100	120 h 10 m	Show
NCAAF SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: A road team off of 3+ straight wins playing on a Saturday is 63-31-1 ATS if they played their last game on the road. (Take WAS, and UAB next week)
10-07-18	Raiders +5 v. Chargers		10-26	Loss	-103	74 h 21 m	Show
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: Since 1989, teams that won the last matchup that took place in a previous season off of a win where the total went Over now facing a team off a match where the total also went Over are just 152-218-5ATS (40.5%) in Sunday games. (Active to play on Raiders and Fade the Chargers this week)
10-07-18	Giants +7 v. Panthers		31-33	Win	100	71 h 5 m	Show
Technical raw number play
10-07-18	Dolphins +5.5 v. Bengals		17-27	Loss	-105	71 h 36 m	Show
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: *Since 2002, the league is 167-129-9 ATS (59.4%) after losing by 24 or more points (20181007, 'Dolphins'), (20181014, 'Buccaneers')
10-07-18	Packers v. Lions +1		23-31	Win	100	71 h 36 m	Show

10-06-18	Liberty v. New Mexico State +5		41-49	Win	100	59 h 54 m	Show
NCAAF SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: Road teams off of a win that have shown poor defense in their last two games (allowed >30 pts) facing a team off of a win are just 32-85-3 ATS 27.4% (Fade Liberty next week)
09-29-18	Toledo v. Fresno State -7.5		27-49	Win	100	130 h 48 m	Show
NCAAF SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: Road teams off of a win that have shown poor defense in their last two games (allowed >30 pts) facing a team off of a win are just 32-85-3 ATS 27.4% (Will be looking to Fade Toledo and USC [play on Arizona and Fresno that is])
09-29-18	USC v. Arizona +3.5		24-20	Loss	-115	130 h 48 m	Show
NCAAF SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: Road teams off of a win that have shown poor defense in their last two games (allowed >30 pts) facing a team off of a win are just 32-85-3 ATS 27.4% (Will be looking to Fade Toledo and USC [play on Arizona and Fresno that is])
09-23-18	Chargers +7.5 v. Rams		23-35	Loss	-140	22 h 4 m	Show
Since 2004, teams playing a SNF or late games and then playing a game again with less than 6 days rest (facing a team who will have normal rest) are doomed from the start going just 22-40-0 SU and 17-44-1 ATS (27.9%)! (Fade the Rams!)
09-22-18	Ohio v. Cincinnati -7.5		30-34	Loss	-110	93 h 20 m	Show
NCAAF SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: A home favorite off of a blowout (52+ pt) win as a favorite is 306-177-15 63.4% ATS as long as neither team played at a neutral site last game. (Active to Play on ALA, CIN, MEM, WVA this week) EXTRA SYSTEM: Playing a home favorite of 34 or fewer points off of a 35+ pt. blowout is 107-40-3 ATS (72.8%) facing a sub .660 team off of a high scoring game. (Play on Cinci this week)
09-16-18	Cardinals +13.5 v. Rams		0-34	Loss	-125	97 h 23 m	Show
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: Small home favorites or slight home dogs (+1 to -4 spread) off of a road loss in the first month of the season are just 45-95-6 ATS (32.1%). Active to fade the Cowboys, Titans and Bears this week. TEAM TREND OF THE WEEK: STL010: The Rams are 0-10 ATS (-7.55 ppg) as a home favorite over a divisional opponent that had fewer regular season wins the previous season. Note: The Browns are 0-21 since Oct 25, 2015 on the road The Browns are 0-14 since Dec 21, 2014 on the road off a home game
09-16-18	Dolphins +3 v. Jets		20-12	Win	100	94 h 28 m	Show
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: Small home favorites or slight home dogs (+1 to -4 spread) off of a road loss in the first month of the season are just 45-95-6 ATS (32.1%). Active to fade the Cowboys, Titans and Bears this week. TEAM TREND OF THE WEEK: STL010: The Rams are 0-10 ATS (-7.55 ppg) as a home favorite over a divisional opponent that had fewer regular season wins the previous season. Note: The Browns are 0-21 since Oct 25, 2015 on the road The Browns are 0-14 since Dec 21, 2014 on the road off a home game
09-16-18	Colts +6 v. Redskins		21-9	Win	100	94 h 28 m	Show
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: Small home favorites or slight home dogs (+1 to -4 spread) off of a road loss in the first month of the season are just 45-95-6 ATS (32.1%). Active to fade the Cowboys, Titans and Bears this week. TEAM TREND OF THE WEEK: STL010: The Rams are 0-10 ATS (-7.55 ppg) as a home favorite over a divisional opponent that had fewer regular season wins the previous season. Note: The Browns are 0-21 since Oct 25, 2015 on the road The Browns are 0-14 since Dec 21, 2014 on the road off a home game
09-15-18	Alabama -21 v. Ole Miss		62-7	Win	100	77 h 35 m	Show
NCAAF SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: Since 1989, teams off of 2+ straight >27 pt. blowout wins is 112-44-1 71.8% ATS against a team that just allowed over 36 points last game. (Active on ALA, and CFL this week)
09-10-18	Rams v. Raiders +4.5		33-13	Loss	-110	77 h 35 m	Show

09-08-18	Connecticut v. Boise State -31.5		7-62	Win	100	29 h 9 m	Show
NCAAF SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: Plus .600 Road dogs of 57 total points and current opponent just blew out their last opponent 35 points or more. (Fade Connecticut and Wyoming)
09-01-18	Old Dominion v. Liberty +6		10-52	Win	100	27 h 2 m	Show
Home dogs that finished above .500 last season now between +5 and +9.5 before week 6 are 62-21-0 (75%) ATS. (Take Liberty this week)
09-01-18	Florida Atlantic v. Oklahoma -20		14-63	Win	100	21 h 12 m	Show
NCAAF SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: MAIN NCAAF Favorite System: Since 1989, 21 to 27 points home favorites are 234-131-10 (64.1%) ATS where the total is between 74 and 47.5.Since 2006, (Active on MCST, NEB, OKLA, PNST, and USC) this week.
02-04-18	Eagles v. Patriots -4		41-33	Loss	-107	100 h 28 m	Show
Right now, everybody is actually betting the Eagles, but we have this key trend so I am going to put an early amount down on the Patriots:KEY SUPER BOWL SYSTEM: A plus .500 team off of a win as a home dog. 90-149-8 ATS 37.7% in database history. (Fade the Eagles)
01-21-18	Vikings -3 v. Eagles		7-38	Loss	-110	100 h 17 m	Show

01-21-18	Jaguars v. Patriots -8.5		20-24	Loss	-103	97 h 42 m	Show

01-14-18	Jaguars +7.5 v. Steelers		45-42	Win	100	67 h 36 m	Show
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: Since 2004, road teams withing 3.5 pts of pick'em are 32-6 ATS 84.2% after week 9 after two+ straight games allowing zero turnovers. The p-value of this trend is 0.000033 -- which is ridiculous. Anything UNDER 0.05 is considered statistically, meaningful. The z-score I mentioned last week is +4.03 (where anything over +2.00 is what we like to look at. This is a perfect thing to tease as well if you can get to +4 or +5 as the trend improves to 51-14-3 ATS (78.5%) for lines from -3.5 to +5 NFL TEAM TREND OF THE WEEK: The Vikings are 17-0 ATS (+12.97 ppg) at home off a game as a favorite in which they converted at least five third downs. -- This is sort of a bummer, because I love the Saints in general, and they seem to be breaking out of a slump. My lean is towards the Saints this week; however, I hate betting against this powerful, and stealthy trend. Plus, everyone is betting the Saints here. I am going to pass. The Vikings are the sharper play unfortunately, and I have an emotional bias the other way. Runner up Team Trend of the Week: The Falcons are 12-0 ATS (+12.25 ppg) on the road off a road game in which they were outgained, as long as they are not getting four-plus points. Other Thoughts:* The Steelers are 0-4 ATS (-4.25 ppg) since Nov 26, 2017 at home RUNNER UP SYSTEM: Since 2004,teams playing their second straight road game or more are, on the blind, 509-411-20 (55.3% ATS). By simply playing a lot on the road (that's it, nothing else), it seems that teams, Automatically get Under-valued. Active on the Falcons and Titans this week.
01-13-18	Titans +14 v. Patriots	Top	14-35	Loss	-120	49 h 26 m	Show
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: Since 2004, road teams withing 3.5 pts of pick'em are 32-6 ATS 84.2% after week 9 after two+ straight games allowing zero turnovers. The p-value of this trend is 0.000033 -- which is ridiculous. Anything UNDER 0.05 is considered statistically, meaningful. The z-score I mentioned last week is +4.03 (where anything over +2.00 is what we like to look at. This is a perfect thing to tease as well if you can get to +4 or +5 as the trend improves to 51-14-3 ATS (78.5%) for lines from -3.5 to +5 NFL TEAM TREND OF THE WEEK: The Vikings are 17-0 ATS (+12.97 ppg) at home off a game as a favorite in which they converted at least five third downs. -- This is sort of a bummer, because I love the Saints in general, and they seem to be breaking out of a slump. My lean is towards the Saints this week; however, I hate betting against this powerful, and stealthy trend. Plus, everyone is betting the Saints here. I am going to pass. The Vikings are the sharper play unfortunately, and I have an emotional bias the other way. Runner up Team Trend of the Week: The Falcons are 12-0 ATS (+12.25 ppg) on the road off a road game in which they were outgained, as long as they are not getting four-plus points. Other Thoughts:* The Steelers are 0-4 ATS (-4.25 ppg) since Nov 26, 2017 at home RUNNER UP SYSTEM: Since 2004,teams playing their second straight road game or more are, on the blind, 509-411-20 (55.3% ATS). By simply playing a lot on the road (that's it, nothing else), it seems that teams, Automatically get Under-valued. Active on the Falcons and Titans this week.
01-13-18	Falcons -3 v. Eagles	Top	10-15	Loss	-100	47 h 6 m	Show
Since 2004, road teams withing 3.5 pts of pick'em are 32-6 ATS 84.2% after week 9 after two+ straight games allowing zero turnovers.
01-06-18	Falcons +6.5 v. Rams		26-13	Win	100	49 h 13 m	Show
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: Since 1989, teams off of 3 or more straight games with zero turnovers are 73-35-4 67.6% ATS. Active on the Bills NFL TEAM TREND OF THE WEEK: The Carolina Panthers are 14-0 OU (+12.0 ppg) since Ron Rivera became their coach in 2011 as a dog of more than six points -- hence the nickname '''Riverboat Ron. Other Thoughts: The Rams are 3-9-1 ATS (-4.92 ppg) since Oct 09, 2016 at home
12-31-17	Panthers v. Falcons -3.5		10-22	Win	100	46 h 39 m	Show
KEY EXTRA SYSTEM: Since 1989, the team with the lessor team record is 192-113-11 ATS (63.0%) in regular season, post week 15. No totals below 35. Now at 236-145 ATS and active to play on the Broncos, Colts, Dolphins, Cowboys, Falcons, Giants, 49ers and Titans this week... Other Thoughts: *The Panthers are 0-12 ATS (-9.92 ppg) on turf vs a divisional opponent that has allowed a completion percentage of at least 64.5%.
12-31-17	Raiders +8.5 v. Chargers	Top	10-30	Loss	-130	46 h 37 m	Show
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: Since 2004,teams playing their second straight road game or more are, on the blind, 509-411-20 (55.3% ATS). By simply playing a lot on the road (that's it, nothing else), it seems that teams, Automatically get Under-valued. Now at 548-461 ATS and active on the Raiders, Bills, Browns, and Jags this week. NFL TEAM TREND OF THE WEEK: The Oakland Raiders are 14-0 ATS (+12.68 ppg) on the road on grass vs a divisional opponent when they are off a loss in which they held the lead.
12-31-17	Redskins v. Giants +3		10-18	Win	100	42 h 24 m	Show
KEY EXTRA SYSTEM: Since 1989, the team with the lessor team record is 192-113-11 ATS (63.0%) in regular season, post week 15. No totals below 35. Now at 236-145 ATS and active to play on the Broncos, Colts, Dolphins, Cowboys, Falcons, Giants, 49ers and Titans this week... Other Thoughts: The Panthers are 0-12 ATS (-9.92 ppg) on turf vs a divisional opponent that has allowed a completion percentage of at least 64.5%. Since 1992, road favorites in the last month of the year are just 40-72-3 ATS (64.3% to fade) off of a home win now facing a team off of a road loss. Fade the Saints and Redskins
12-29-17	Kentucky v. Northwestern -7		23-24	Loss	-115	525 h 16 m	Show
All NCAAF Bowl Game Raw numbers are posted up to 1/1/2018! As usual, we'll try to get some middles in by getting on bets early where we anticipate public action. Since we're betting on games dated weeks out from now, we'll see a lot of line movements, and well...free money is free money....try and take a position on BOTH sides of one matchup over a key number. For example, below for NCAAF, you'll see a pick on Houston at -2.5 and Wyoming at -1.THE #1 Most common margin of victory since 2004 (by occurrence rate) is +3 / -3That is, one field goal....very logical why 3 would be the case (and #2 is +7 / -7 -- that's 1 TD...again, logical) MIDDLING NCAAF BOWL SEASON: How It Works So, taking a position under -3 on those two favs gives us the opportunity to do what's called "middling"This is where we take 1 bet early close to the opening line and then we bet the opposite side later IF / when the public / syndicates / 'smart money' / bookmakers move the line OVER or onto a 'handle' -- the moving over a handle (ie. 3 or 7 are 'handles' in American Football; this is where linemakers take in way more money and play a safer position on a 'handle' or a number where a push often occurs and the likelihood of getting even money is increased). So for example: Our bet on Houston -2.5 goes off not until December 24th and you can bet, on Christmas Eve, everyone will want to throw money down willy nilly on their favorite teams so we'll see a lot of line movement. We'll be looking to take a position on Houston's opponent Fresno State at +3.5 or better. The bottom line: if we can manage to get Houston -2.5, and then later, on Christmas eve before game time, get on Fresno State across the #1 most common handle, we're in business. That would mean that, we're only risking the vig in exchange for the proposition to win TWO bets! That's what middling is....and in my personal opinion, this is the proper way to think about doing it:Anticipate public action or anything that would result in heavy line movement.Take bet #1 as far out as you can on the public side (you anticipate it to be the public side that is)*Take bet #2 as close to game time as possible or just lock it in once you cross a handle (3 or 7 or both; 10 and 14 are good too). I may not post the middles, so I am explaining the process now for you guys. You don't have to middle the plays. I made sure the plays I am giving out (in NCAAF) are qualifiers on their own, but I love free money..... Alternatively, you could go 20% - 60% less stake on the other side for bet #2, since our conviction, in the end, is on the first bets.
12-27-17	Southern Miss +16 v. Florida State		13-42	Loss	-115	474 h 6 m	Show
All NCAAF Bowl Game Raw numbers are posted up to 1/1/2018! As usual, we'll try to get some middles in by getting on bets early where we anticipate public action. Since we're betting on games dated weeks out from now, we'll see a lot of line movements, and well...free money is free money....try and take a position on BOTH sides of one matchup over a key number. For example, below for NCAAF, you'll see a pick on Houston at -2.5 and Wyoming at -1.THE #1 Most common margin of victory since 2004 (by occurrence rate) is +3 / -3That is, one field goal....very logical why 3 would be the case (and #2 is +7 / -7 -- that's 1 TD...again, logical) MIDDLING NCAAF BOWL SEASON: How It Works So, taking a position under -3 on those two favs gives us the opportunity to do what's called "middling"This is where we take 1 bet early close to the opening line and then we bet the opposite side later IF / when the public / syndicates / 'smart money' / bookmakers move the line OVER or onto a 'handle' -- the moving over a handle (ie. 3 or 7 are 'handles' in American Football; this is where linemakers take in way more money and play a safer position on a 'handle' or a number where a push often occurs and the likelihood of getting even money is increased). So for example: Our bet on Houston -2.5 goes off not until December 24th and you can bet, on Christmas Eve, everyone will want to throw money down willy nilly on their favorite teams so we'll see a lot of line movement. We'll be looking to take a position on Houston's opponent Fresno State at +3.5 or better. The bottom line: if we can manage to get Houston -2.5, and then later, on Christmas eve before game time, get on Fresno State across the #1 most common handle, we're in business. That would mean that, we're only risking the vig in exchange for the proposition to win TWO bets! That's what middling is....and in my personal opinion, this is the proper way to think about doing it:Anticipate public action or anything that would result in heavy line movement.Take bet #1 as far out as you can on the public side (you anticipate it to be the public side that is)*Take bet #2 as close to game time as possible or just lock it in once you cross a handle (3 or 7 or both; 10 and 14 are good too). I may not post the middles, so I am explaining the process now for you guys. You don't have to middle the plays. I made sure the plays I am giving out (in NCAAF) are qualifiers on their own, but I love free money..... Alternatively, you could go 20% - 60% less stake on the other side for bet #2, since our conviction, in the end, is on the first bets.
12-25-17	Raiders +9 v. Eagles	Top	10-19	Push	0	100 h 19 m	Show
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: Since 1989, the team with the lessor team record is 192-113-11 ATS (63.0%) in regular season, post week 15. No totals below 35. Play on the Bengals, Giants, 49ers and Broncos this week. NFL TEAM TREND OF THE WEEK: The Jaguars are 18-0 OU (+12.61 ppg) vs a non-divisional opponent when they are off a win in which they were turnover-free and had at least 28 minutes of possession time. KEY TREND: Since 1989, teams that put up fewer passing yards than their opp. in a loss last game and fewer rushing yards as well are a solid 123-80-5 (+3.1 ppg, 60.6%) ATS if it is their second or more straight game on the road. 150-99 ATS Now and Active to play on the Chargers KEY TREND: All the way back to 1989 (database history), road teams off of a tight 4 point or fewer loss have done great next game at a 500-409-32 55.0% ATS clip on the blind! Buccs, Raiders, Steelers
12-24-17	Houston -2.5 v. Fresno State		27-33	Loss	-110	409 h 6 m	Show
All NCAAF Bowl Game Raw numbers are posted up to 1/1/2018! As usual, we'll try to get some middles in by getting on bets early where we anticipate public action. Since we're betting on games dated weeks out from now, we'll see a lot of line movements, and well...free money is free money....try and take a position on BOTH sides of one matchup over a key number. For example, below for NCAAF, you'll see a pick on Houston at -2.5 and Wyoming at -1.THE #1 Most common margin of victory since 2004 (by occurrence rate) is +3 / -3That is, one field goal....very logical why 3 would be the case (and #2 is +7 / -7 -- that's 1 TD...again, logical) MIDDLING NCAAF BOWL SEASON: How It Works So, taking a position under -3 on those two favs gives us the opportunity to do what's called "middling"This is where we take 1 bet early close to the opening line and then we bet the opposite side later IF / when the public / syndicates / 'smart money' / bookmakers move the line OVER or onto a 'handle' -- the moving over a handle (ie. 3 or 7 are 'handles' in American Football; this is where linemakers take in way more money and play a safer position on a 'handle' or a number where a push often occurs and the likelihood of getting even money is increased). So for example: Our bet on Houston -2.5 goes off not until December 24th and you can bet, on Christmas Eve, everyone will want to throw money down willy nilly on their favorite teams so we'll see a lot of line movement. We'll be looking to take a position on Houston's opponent Fresno State at +3.5 or better. The bottom line: if we can manage to get Houston -2.5, and then later, on Christmas eve before game time, get on Fresno State across the #1 most common handle, we're in business. That would mean that, we're only risking the vig in exchange for the proposition to win TWO bets! That's what middling is....and in my personal opinion, this is the proper way to think about doing it:Anticipate public action or anything that would result in heavy line movement.Take bet #1 as far out as you can on the public side (you anticipate it to be the public side that is)*Take bet #2 as close to game time as possible or just lock it in once you cross a handle (3 or 7 or both; 10 and 14 are good too). I may not post the middles, so I am explaining the process now for you guys. You don't have to middle the plays. I made sure the plays I am giving out (in NCAAF) are qualifiers on their own, but I love free money..... Alternatively, you could go 20% - 60% less stake on the other side for bet #2, since our conviction, in the end, is on the first bets.
12-24-17	Rams v. Titans +7	Top	27-23	Win	100	69 h 56 m	Show
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: Since 1989, the team with the lessor team record is 192-113-11 ATS (63.0%) in regular season, post week 15. No totals below 35. Play on the Bengals, Giants, 49ers and Broncos this week. NFL TEAM TREND OF THE WEEK: The Jaguars are 18-0 OU (+12.61 ppg) vs a non-divisional opponent when they are off a win in which they were turnover-free and had at least 28 minutes of possession time. EXTRA TREND: Since 1989, teams that put up fewer passing yards than their opp. in a loss last game and fewer rushing yards as well are a solid 123-80-5 (+3.1 ppg, 60.6%) ATS if it is their second or more straight game on the road. 150-99 ATS Now and Active to play on the Chargers
12-24-17	Chargers -6.5 v. Jets	Top	14-7	Win	100	69 h 56 m	Show
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: Since 1989, the team with the lessor team record is 192-113-11 ATS (63.0%) in regular season, post week 15. No totals below 35. Play on the Bengals, Giants, 49ers and Broncos this week. NFL TEAM TREND OF THE WEEK: The Jaguars are 18-0 OU (+12.61 ppg) vs a non-divisional opponent when they are off a win in which they were turnover-free and had at least 28 minutes of possession time. EXTRA TREND: Since 1989, teams that put up fewer passing yards than their opp. in a loss last game and fewer rushing yards as well are a solid 123-80-5 (+3.1 ppg, 60.6%) ATS if it is their second or more straight game on the road. 150-99 ATS Now and Active to play on the Chargers
12-24-17	Lions v. Bengals +5		17-26	Win	100	68 h 20 m	Show
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: Since 1989, the team with the lessor team record is 192-113-11 ATS (63.0%) in regular season, post week 15. No totals below 35. Play on the Bengals, Giants, 49ers and Broncos this week. NFL TEAM TREND OF THE WEEK: The Jaguars are 18-0 OU (+12.61 ppg) vs a non-divisional opponent when they are off a win in which they were turnover-free and had at least 28 minutes of possession time. KEY TREND: Since 1989, teams that put up fewer passing yards than their opp. in a loss last game and fewer rushing yards as well are a solid 123-80-5 (+3.1 ppg, 60.6%) ATS if it is their second or more straight game on the road. 150-99 ATS Now and Active to play on the Chargers KEY TREND: All the way back to 1989 (database history), road teams off of a tight 4 point or fewer loss have done great next game at a 500-409-32 55.0% ATS clip on the blind! Buccs, Raiders, Steelers
12-22-17	Central Michigan v. Wyoming -1		14-37	Win	100	357 h 41 m	Show
All NCAAF Bowl Game Raw numbers are posted up to 1/1/2018! As usual, we'll try to get some middles in by getting on bets early where we anticipate public action. Since we're betting on games dated weeks out from now, we'll see a lot of line movements, and well...free money is free money....try and take a position on BOTH sides of one matchup over a key number. For example, below for NCAAF, you'll see a pick on Houston at -2.5 and Wyoming at -1.THE #1 Most common margin of victory since 2004 (by occurrence rate) is +3 / -3That is, one field goal....very logical why 3 would be the case (and #2 is +7 / -7 -- that's 1 TD...again, logical) MIDDLING NCAAF BOWL SEASON: How It Works So, taking a position under -3 on those two favs gives us the opportunity to do what's called "middling"This is where we take 1 bet early close to the opening line and then we bet the opposite side later IF / when the public / syndicates / 'smart money' / bookmakers move the line OVER or onto a 'handle' -- the moving over a handle (ie. 3 or 7 are 'handles' in American Football; this is where linemakers take in way more money and play a safer position on a 'handle' or a number where a push often occurs and the likelihood of getting even money is increased). So for example: Our bet on Houston -2.5 goes off not until December 24th and you can bet, on Christmas Eve, everyone will want to throw money down willy nilly on their favorite teams so we'll see a lot of line movement. We'll be looking to take a position on Houston's opponent Fresno State at +3.5 or better. The bottom line: if we can manage to get Houston -2.5, and then later, on Christmas eve before game time, get on Fresno State across the #1 most common handle, we're in business. That would mean that, we're only risking the vig in exchange for the proposition to win TWO bets! That's what middling is....and in my personal opinion, this is the proper way to think about doing it:Anticipate public action or anything that would result in heavy line movement.Take bet #1 as far out as you can on the public side (you anticipate it to be the public side that is)*Take bet #2 as close to game time as possible or just lock it in once you cross a handle (3 or 7 or both; 10 and 14 are good too). I may not post the middles, so I am explaining the process now for you guys. You don't have to middle the plays. I made sure the plays I am giving out (in NCAAF) are qualifiers on their own, but I love free money..... Alternatively, you could go 20% - 60% less stake on the other side for bet #2, since our conviction, in the end, is on the first bets.
12-17-17	Patriots -2.5 v. Steelers	Top	27-24	Win	100	72 h 22 m	Show
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: A plus .500 team off of a win as a home dog. 90-149-8 ATS 37.7% in database history. (EXTRA) NFL TEAM TREND OF THE WEEK: Perhaps even more powerful than that system... The Patriots are 19-0 ATS (+16.05 ppg) when they are off a loss and they are not laying more than a field goal.
12-17-17	Packers +3 v. Panthers		24-31	Loss	-115	68 h 9 m	Show
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: A plus .500 team off of a win as a home dog. 90-149-8 ATS 37.7% in database history. (EXTRA) NFL TEAM TREND OF THE WEEK: Perhaps even more powerful than that system... The Patriots are 19-0 ATS (+16.05 ppg) when they are off a loss and they are not laying more than a field goal.
12-17-17	Cardinals v. Redskins -4		15-20	Win	100	67 h 28 m	Show
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: A plus .500 team off of a win as a home dog. 90-149-8 ATS 37.7% in database history. (EXTRA) NFL TEAM TREND OF THE WEEK: Perhaps even more powerful than that system... The Patriots are 19-0 ATS (+16.05 ppg) when they are off a loss and they are not laying more than a field goal.
12-16-17	Bears +5.5 v. Lions		10-20	Loss	-115	47 h 6 m	Show
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: A plus .500 team off of a win as a home dog. 90-149-8 ATS 37.7% in database history. (EXTRA) NFL TEAM TREND OF THE WEEK: Perhaps even more powerful than that system... The Patriots are 19-0 ATS (+16.05 ppg) when they are off a loss and they are not laying more than a field goal.
12-16-17	North Texas +7 v. Troy		30-50	Loss	-115	212 h 55 m	Show
NCAAF SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: Favorites or small less than a field goal dogs are just 60-102-2 ATS on a 3+ game ats win streak in bowl games. Fade Troy, Central Mich, Fres, Flor State, Northwester, Lou and LSU!
12-10-17	Eagles +2.5 v. Rams	Top	43-35	Win	100	67 h 4 m	Show
KEY NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: Since 2004,teams playing their second straight road game or more are, on the blind, 509-411-20 (55.3% ATS). By simply playing a lot on the road (that's it, nothing else), it seems that teams, Automatically get Under-valued. - Take the Colts, Redskins, Vikings, Eagles, Eagles, and 49ers KEY SYSTEM: Teams are 55-38-1 ATS since 2002 after a game where the longest rush allowed in the previous game was 72 yards or more. (20171210, 'Panthers'), (20171210, 'Texans') The Panthers are 11-4 ATS (7.20 ppg) since Dec 07, 2014 as a dog The Eagles are 12-3 ATS (7.40 ppg) since Dec 18, 2016
12-10-17	Raiders v. Chiefs -4		15-26	Win	100	64 h 39 m	Show
The Raiders are 2-7-1 ATS (-7.20 ppg) since Sep 24, 2017 KEY NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: Since 2004,teams playing their second straight road game or more are, on the blind, 509-411-20 (55.3% ATS). By simply playing a lot on the road (that's it, nothing else), it seems that teams, Automatically get Under-valued. KEY SYSTEM: Teams are 55-38-1 ATS since 2002 after a game where the longest rush allowed in the previous game was 72 yards or more. The Panthers are 11-4 ATS (7.20 ppg) since Dec 07, 2014 as a dog The Eagles are 12-3 ATS (7.40 ppg) since Dec 18, 2016
12-03-17	Colts +9.5 v. Jaguars	Top	10-30	Loss	-110	64 h 35 m	Show
KEY SYSTEM: The Jaguars are 2-8 ATS (-3.00 ppg) at homeWill follow up if we have anything else...

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