Cappers Sports Picks

507 Golden State at Houston

Rare opportunity to get the clearly best team in the league without laying points. The Warriors were a short handed bunch last time out and the physical nature of the game seemed to wear on them down the stretch. Keep in mind the mental focus of this team after blowing away the Rockets in the previous game. Golden State was fat and happy and began to read its press clippings. While the Rockets played all out with its back to the wall. Now that Golden State is focused we see the Warriors coming out of Texas with the series lead.

PLAY GOLDEN STATE

705 Boston at Cleveland

So Cleveland is favored by 6 1/2 at home in game three after losing by double digits twice in Boston. Now the line is higher after the Cavs blow out the Celtics by 30 in the previous game? That’s not how sports betting works, especially this far into the playoffs where all four teams are among the leagues elite. Boston has the best coach remaining in the playoffs, which really says something with the Rockets and Warriors included, two elite coaches indeed. The Celtics have been terrific all season off a loss, off a double digit loss and off a blowout loss. History says the same thing when it comes to playoff basketball. Simply, the team that gets embarrassed comes out and covers the spread the next game. It happed last night in Oakland and it will do the same tonight in Cleveland.

PLAY BOSTON

504 Toronto at Cleveland

Give the Raptors all the credit in the world for that comeback last time out. But that last basket by LeBron has to have taken out all the will from this team. Keep in mind LeBron James is on a 27-1 SU run against the Raptors at home. That’s been against some very good Toronto teams the last few years. Now the Raptors need to win four straight including two wins in Cleveland. It’s just not going to happen and the visiting knows it. 

Cleveland on the other hand wants to finish as soon as possible in order to get a bit of rest before the Eastern Conference Finals. James led the league in minutes this season, so you know the Cavs will do everything in its power to close this one out tonight.

PLAY CLEVELAND

511 Cleveland at Toronto

In game one Toronto was well rested and Cleveland was coming off a grueling seven game series with Indiana. The Raptors were favored by 7 in that contest and Cleveland won it in overtime. Now the line is virtually the same despite both teams having equal rest. Toronto has really struggled against the Cavs in the postseason and we unable to distance themselves in game one. Why would anyone think something different is going to happen here? The Cavs match up well with Toronto and when Thompson is in the game the inside edge the Raptors have is negated. 

PLAY CLEVELAND

709 New Orleans at Golden State

The rich get richer as Steph Curry returns to the Warriors lineup tonight. But does that make them a better team? Of course it does if he is in prime shape and gets his full allotment of minutes. But keep in mind it has been a long time since he has competed on the highest level, and the Warrior coaching staff will be looking to gradually increase his minutes. If would be devastating to this team to lose him again right before the likely occurrence of a Houston/Golden State showdown. Therefore we expect his minutes to be lessoned and his success being down from what we normally would witness.

The line in the previous game was roughly 2 1/2 points lower than we find here. The Warriors pounded the Pelicans rather easily. But we expect a major effort out of the dog tonight, and the Curry return gives us extra points to play with. In successful sports betting you buy low and sell high, that’s exactly the situation we take advantage of tonight.

PLAY NEW ORLEANS                                

706 Indiana at Cleveland

Originally from Cleveland we have watched virtually every Cavaliers game since LeBron was a rookie. We know his tendencies, his body language and when he’s coming to play or likely not to play well. This here is a LeBron game. Elite players off an embarrassing performance rebound well the next game. Teams losing by 30 or more points are 5-0 ATS the following game as a favorite. 

PLAY CLEVELAND

503 Golden State at San Antonio

What was once a very promising season for the Spurs has really turned into a complete waste of a year. The team and its best player are at a standstill, as Leonard continues to sit when the team needs him most. Now San Antonio sits at 0-3 in this series and has to beat the defending champs four straight in order to advance. Because of the yearly high expectations for the Spurs we can’t see San Antonio getting overly excited to have to travel back to Oakland after a victory here. Fading 0-3 teams has been very profitable, doing so against a veteran team with higher expectations is a given. 

PLAY GOLDEN STATE

517 Indiana at Cleveland

The Pacers have played the Cavaliers as well as anyone this year, and have a good chance to win this series outright. Being from Cleveland we watch every Cavaliers game and Cleveland has severe problems in this series. There was no doubt Indiana was the better team in the opener, and Cleveland still has a major weakness inside. The Pacers are the quicker team and the Cavs have struggled against youth all season. This line is built on reputation and not on the actual skills of the players.

PLAY INDIANA

924 Miami at NY Yankees

Smith & Severino

While Caleb Smith is ranked better than many think he has his hands full on the road today in New York. He’s 24% worse than Severino and the Miami bullpen is 26% worse. Offensively the Marlins are 22% worse and Miami can’t compare in power with the Yankees. We expect this to be a non-competitive game so we have no problems laying the 1 1/2 runs here with the host.

PLAY NY YANKEES RUN LINE

507 Miami at Atlanta

Hawks are in full tank mode while the Heat are looking to keep up in the playoff race. A majority of tickets have come in on the host, yet the line hasn’t moved. As we right this some of the sharper books are leaning toward a higher number. Let’s back the Heat here as the Hawks play dead once again.

PLAY MIAMI

812 Loyola Chicago & Michigan

Heard some quotes from other coaches who made the final four as surprise teams. They all said that the situation is totally different from anything these teams have seen in the past. Because of all the hoopla all the timing of a regular season game goes out the window. Not enough time for a normal shoot around, in and out of the locker room in less time than normal, stadium views as opposed to regular 20,000 seat or less dimensions. Loyola will be going through that for the first time today, while the other three teams have been through it before. 

On the court Michigan has the athletes to really give the Ramblers trouble. This will be the first time in the tournament in which Loyola will be at a defensive disadvantage.

PLAY MICHIGAN

517 LA Clippers at Portland

The road team has won outright all three meetings this season. The Clippers enter this game with double home loss revenge, but the defense is playing much better than the last time these two met two weeks ago. LA isn’t the most talented team in the league but you always seem to get a quality contest from this club.

Portland has been all the rage for those looking to play on the hot team. The Blazers have won 17 of 21 games entering tonight. But we went against this team last time out with Memphis and Portland was beaten outright. We look to go against the overrated Blazers again tonight.

PLAY LOS ANGELES CLIPPERS

704 Chicago at Miami

The Bulls are in full tank zone after losing its sixth straight game, a 32 point defeat at Houston. Our clients took advantage of Chicago in that contest and we go right back to the well here. This is the first of a back to back for the Bulls, as it plays in Orlando tomorrow. A far easier team to beat than this Heat squad who is fighting for the playoffs. 

Miami is on a 10-6 straight up run including victories over Philadelphia twice, Washington and Cleveland. The Heat are well rested having not played a back to back game since March sixth. Miami is also off tomorrow before facing Brooklyn, Atlanta twice and New York. This is the time for the Heat to pad its resume.

PLAY MIAMI

510 Portland at Memphis

This one should be simple right? The Blazers enter this game having won 15 of 17, while the Grizzlies have lost 23 of 25. Unfortunately NBA handicapping is not that easy. This is the first of two meetings with Memphis in the next three games. The Blazers are playing back to back on the road after a 107-103 win in New Orleans yesterday. It’s also the third game in four days for Portland, all on the road. 

In the last 12 days the Grizzlies have been very competitive except the 140-79 embarrassment at Charlotte. Only two losses by double digits and two victories as well. Memphis has split the first two meetings in this series, and has had a very relaxing schedule of 8 of 9 games playing with rest. We expect this game to come down to the wire.

PLAY MEMPHIS

768 Chicago at Houston

Rockets had yesterday off after back to back blowouts of Atlanta and New Orleans. Houston plays again on Friday against Phoenix but has the next two days off. The Beard is out tonight which has driven the line down. But the numbers show that with Paul on the floor without him the team is only one point worse this season. Therefore the 3 1/2 point move is simply too much. Granted, against a good team it would make much more of a difference, but tonight the Rockets play the tanking Bulls.

Chicago has lost four straight games by double digits, but three of those teams aren’t going to the playoffs. Houston has the best record in the league. We expect the Rockets to run up the score going deep on the bench for late game production.

PLAY HOUSTON

721 Duke & Kansas

The Blue Devils have been the best team in the country since going to a zone defense midway through the season. Duke has now held 12 straight teams to under 75 points. Duke allows just 46.2% effective field goals on the season. This team always recruits deadly shooters, and now with the team buying into the defensive end this team is extremely tough to beat.

Kansas has won 11 of 12 heading into this contest, with the lone loss coming against Oklahoma State. But Penn, Seton Hall and Clemson has been one of the easiest roads in the tourney. We expect this line to climb, therefore lets lock in this number now on what we consider the clearly better team.

PLAY DUKE

719 Texas Tech & Villanova

Sharp books are trending toward the underdog here and we fully agree. Tech has one of the best effective field goal defenses in the country at 46.7%, and Villanova has been shooting unworldly in the tournament as of late. Since the Big 12 Tournament nobody has surpassed 69 points on this team. 

Villanova was able to shoot over the West Virginia press, but we can’t expect those type of numbers again here. This line is just too high.

PLAY TEXAS TECH

515 Florida State & Michigan

Smart money is on the Seminoles as the sharper books are lowering the number. We fully agree with that assessment. We only have these teams ranked 16 places apart in our power ratings, not nearly the difference to have a line this high. Florida State has played the better defense and faced a tougher schedule of Missouri, Xavier and Gonzaga.

Michigan is coming off a blowout win over Texas A&M where the team just couldn’t miss from the field. That result has pushed this line up at least two points from where it deserves to be. Another reason for the inflated line is that the Wolverines are on a 12 game winning streak. Handicapping 101 tells you that you lose value on a streaking team as others blindly play on a hot squad. Right now 71% of the bets have come in on the favorite, yet the line is dropping. 

PLAY FLORIDA STATE

813 Kansas State & Kentucky

Many will overlook K State here based on facing Creighton and Maryland Baltimore County in the first two rounds. But this defense has been very good as of late with only Kansas and Oklahoma surpassing 67 points over the past five weeks. 

Kentucky enters this game having won 9 of 10 with the only loss coming at Florida. These Wildcats are peaking at tourney time which is a staple of this program. But wins over Davidson and Buffalo haven’t changed our minds on this squad. Kentucky has underperformed all year as opposed to prior editions, and we can’t see this team being a contender. With what is considered an easy slate to the final four we can see these young players buying into all the hype, taking these fellows Wildcats for granted.

PLAY KANSAS STATE

720 Florida State & Xavier

The Seminoles have staggered into the tournament having lost 6 of 11 games including the opening round win over Missouri. Three of those losses were to teams who didn’t make the Big Dance.

Xavier only lost five games on the season, all to teams making the Big Dance. That includes two losses to Villanova and Providence. Better team with a cheap line.

PLAY XAVIER

538 Buffalo and Kentucky

As much as we like the Bulls, and we had them in the opening round, the price is too cheap not to take the Wildcats here. The MAC has been terrible in the postseason whether it’s football or basketball. The teams just don’t match up to higher athletic teams. While Arizona struggled down the stretch of the season, the Wildcats are peaking at the right time.

PLAY KENTUCKY

881 Georgia State and Cincinnati

The Panthers are a tough matchup for the Bearcats with their excellent zone defense. Georgia State allows an effective field goal percentage of 47.1%. Cincinnati struggles offensively when facing a zone. 

The Bearcats just played three games in three days with every contest being decided by 10 points or less. In 3 of the last 4 contests Cincinnati scored 62 points or less. Tough to lay this type of number in what is expected to be a low scoring contest.

PLAY GEORGIA STATE

874 CS Fullerton and Purdue

The Titans major problem here is that it can’t defend from behind the arc, which is what Purdue does best offensively. This team posted a solid 20-11 record but only outscored the opposition by a single point a game.

Because of the Big 10 playing its tournament early at Madison Square Garden, Purdue will have 11 days off before this contest. Will the team be rusty or refreshed? We feel the extra rest will be a benefit after playing in the physical Big 10 conference. Purdue had a 15.5 scoring advantage on the season and had no problem running up scores in non-conference action. 

PLAY PURDUE

615 UL Lafayette at LSU

Rare opportunity for an in-state school to face the big boys in a tournament contest. With LSU having a disappointing season, we can see a good amount of this crowd cheering for the Rain Cajuns. Lafayette is 27-6 on the season and have a 4.2% effective field goal edge on the year. The Tigers lost to five teams who didn’t make the tournament. We can see this coming down to the final possession with he visitor cashing the ticket.

PLAY UL LAFAYETTE

543 LIU Brooklyn and Radford

The Blackbirds of Brooklyn enter the dance with just an 18-16 record. But it ended the season and the conference tourney by winning 12 of 17. Only one of the losses was by double digits, so even in defeat this team was competitive. 

The Radford Highlanders have the better 22-12 record but the team actually allows a higher effective field percentage than it generates itself, 49.5% to 49.4%. Brooklyn on the other hand has a 52.3% to 50% advantage. Radford doesn’t deserve to be this type of favorite tonight.

PLAY LIU BROOKLYN

538 Toledo and Buffalo

The Bulls are on a terrific run right now establishing themselves as the clear best team in this conference. Can’t see any way to go against this club right now, especially knowing Toledo’s best player will likely miss this contest. Even if Fletcher goes for the Rockets, he will be severely hampered. Something the run and gun Bulls can exploit.

PLAY BUFFALO

655 Boston at Minnesota

Now that the Celtics offense is coming around we have no problem backing this terrific defense in a likely win and cover situation. The Celts have been a money making machine with this young head coach in road games. Not only this year but in prior seasons. You always get a full effort from Boston on the road. 

While Minnesota is an up and coming team, we are not convinced this team can step up in class and beat a quality opponent. The number is well within our strike zone on the Celtics tonight.

PLAY BOSTON

579 Notre Dame and Virginia Tech

The Irish seemed to have sleepwalked through its game against the lowly Pitt Panthers yesterday. While it could be forgiven, this team just doesn’t have the justification to take anyone for granted. Because of lackluster play and injuries to key players, this team needs at least one more win to make the big dance. The Irish are the better team here and will look to avenge an earlier home loss to the Hokies. VT is already set for the tournament while Notre Dame needs this one.

PLAY NOTRE DAME

591 Air Force at UNLV

The Falcons have played much better ball as of late and this is always a tough team to beat this time of season. UNLV has been a major disappointment and despite playing at home we can’t see this team winning by a margin. Throw in the fact that this is an early start on a weekday, coupled with apathy from the home fans, and there will be little to no home court advantage.

AIR FORCE

537 South Dakota and South Dakota State

The Coyotes of South Dakota split the season series, winning 87-68 at home and losing 76-72 away. That road loss is the only game in the last nine games in which the Coyotes failed to win. That defeat came two weeks ago so the loss is fresh in the players minds. 

Our stats say this team is three points better on the road, and has the much better defensive efficiency numbers. With the line stating the winner covers we will back the Coyotes here.

PLAY SOUTH DAKOTA

710 Memphis at San Antonio

The Spurs are 4-13 SU against top 10 teams, They are 11-20 against top 16 opponents. But San Antonio has been at its best against the lesser teams in the league. Now 26-7 against the bottom half of the league. Coming into this contest having won just once over the past seven games, you know Pop will have his team prepared.

Memphis is in full tank mode right now having lost 13 straight. Pau Gasol is expected to miss tonights contest. 

PLAY SAN ANTONIO

837 Michigan and Purdue

Like last year the Wolverines are peaking at the right time of year. Winners of eight straight games and off an impressive win over instate rival Michigan State. Michigan has double revenge against the Boilermakers after losses by one and four points. 

Purdue has won five straight but it did so against the weaker teams in the conference. Penn State twice, Illinois, Minnesota and Rutgers. Before that Purdue had lost three straight. This team peaked early in the season while Michigan is peaking now. Wrong team favored.

PLAY MICHIGAN

806 Golden State at Atlanta

The Warriors are likely to go through the motions tonight against Atlanta and Tuesday at home against Brooklyn. After the All-Star break where the Warriors key players didn’t get any rest, the team went to Los Angeles, Oklahoma City, New York and Washington. Now it takes on two of the weakest teams in the league before facing San Antonio, Portland and Minnesota. 

Atlanta hasn’t been good this year to say the least, but Golden State has been a poor road favorite against this type of opponent. The Hawks are 4-12 SU against the top ten teams, so it has proven itself in the past when stepping up in class.

PLAY ATLANTA

713 New Orleans at San Antonio

The Pelicans enter this game having won six straight as Anthony Davis has played out of his mind as of late. What a difference a healthy Brow has made to this team. New Orleans beat San Antonio earlier in the season 107-90 at home. This is a confident bunch playing against a struggling Spurs squad.

Despite the upset win in Cleveland the last time out, the Spurs have dropped 6 of 8 as of late. The only other victory came against the tanking Suns. 

PLAY NEW ORLEANS

773 Fairleigh Dickinson at St Francis PA

The Knights have played much better as of late winning 7 of 11. Two of those losses came to this St Francis squad. The Knights own a better effective field goal defense in this matchup along with recent double revenge as both losses came in the last four weeks.

The Red Flash enter this game fat and happy winning five straight games entering this tournament. This is a major flat spot for St Francis having to win by double digits to cash. 

PLAY FAIRLEIGH DICKINSON

524 Tennessee at Mississippi State

Must win game for the host who has been very good this season but needs a quality win to likely go dancing. The negative advantage of senior night isn’t a concern as this team simply has no seniors. This is a team that is 18-1 SU at home this season, and is favored over a ranked Tennessee team. 

Tennessee has lost 2 of 3 away with the only win coming at Mississippi, a team in total disarray right now. 

PLAY MISSISSIPPI STATE

658 Portland at Pepperdine

This is the last game for coach Wilson at Pepperdine, as he will be forced out at the end of the season. The Waves have cashed three straight after the announcement, all against the leagues elite. Now dropping down in class we will lay the points against a Portland team that has dropped five straight games, including three straight at home coming into this contest. It’s payback time for the host after a nine point loss up in Portland.

PLAY PEPPERDINE

716 Texas Tech at Oklahoma State

The Red Raiders just had a seven game winning streak broken at Baylor 59-57 in a tightly contested contest. Tech already beat Oklahoma State at home 75-70 and have Kansas on deck at home on Saturday. The Jayhawks have revenge on its mind from a 85-73 home loss earlier this year. So this is a tough spot here for the visitor.

Oklahoma State has lost two straight and six of eight overall. It is coming off a 20 point loss at TCU, tied for its largest margin of defeat on the season. We back the home dog here.

PLAY OKLAHOMA STATE

874 Canisius at Rider

The Golden Griffins are 13-2 in conference and have won six straight heading into this contest. But this is the third game in seven days and have Niagara home loss revenge on deck. 

Rider also sits at 13-2 in the league and enter this affair on a nine game winning streak. This is only the second game for the Broncs in eight days. The last time these two met Canisius survived 77-76 back in December. We like the situation here and the line is a bit short with the host. 

PLAY RIDER

540 Auburn at South Carolina

At 23-3 the Tigers are now in line to be a top seed in the NCAA Tournament. This team is 11-2 in conference and just beat a team in Kentucky that has owned them over the years. On deck we have a home game against Alabama, not only the biggest rival of this team, but the Tigers are in revenge from a 76-71 loss on the road.

South Carolina was fantastic last year but sits at 13-13 this season. The Gamecocks have lost six straight heading into this contest. Nobody wants anything to do with this team right now which is exactly why we find value on the host. 

PLAY SOUTH CAROLINA

504 LA Lakers at Minnesota

Really tough spot here for the Lakers who are playing the second game of a back to back right before the All-Star break. Throw in the fact that this team is also trying to get newcomer Isiah Thomas into the flow and it gets worse. Especially after Thomas and Rondo were thrown out of the game earlier in the week in the opening quarter. This is a young team that may be more interested in the break than this road contest in Minnesota.

The T-Wolves are a legit playoff team that has added veteran leadership this season. Minnesota will be less likely to take this game off with a bright second half future.

PLAY MINNESOTA

530 Ohio State at Penn State

Buckeyes cruising along in the Big 10 with a 13-1 record with the only home loss coming to these Nittany Lions. But before we jump on the visitor here keep in mind it plays hated rival Michigan on deck. 

Penn State is 8-6 in conference but has won 5 of 6 as of late with the only loss coming at Michigan State. The last time the Nittany Lions faced Ohio State was off back to back losses to Minnesota and Northwestern. Now this team is in much better form.

PLAY PENN STATE

715 LA Clippers at Boston

Just three weeks ago the Clippers lost at home to Boston 113-102. Since that time LA has won 6 of 8 games, including 4 of 5 on the road. 

Boston is struggling right now losing 3 of 4, including back to back losses at home. The Celtics don’t have a lot of offensive talent, and the Clippers are playing excellent defense as of late. This line is simply too high based on recent play along with the Clips revenge angle.

PLAY LA CLIPPERS

508 Cleveland at Oklahoma City

Don’t look now but all of a sudden all is right in Cleveland. Before the trade deadline Cleveland was +140 to win the Eastern Conference, now after exactly one game with the new players the Cavs are -110. All the talking heads are convinced Cleveland is now the clear team to beat in the East. Based on one game. 

We have to admit that surely was an impressive contest, but isn’t that a major stretch based on one game? Keep in mind Boston had lost two of three before that game, including an outright loss to Indiana at home. This is the third straight road game for the Cavs, and they are 5-18 ATS the last two years on the road vs the Western Conference. The last time Cleveland played Oklahoma City the Thunder scored 148 points. Look for Cleveland to struggle a bit tonight.

PLAY OKLAHOMA CITY

836 Duke at Georgia Tech

Off back to back road losses to St Johns and North Carolina, many will expect a bounce back game for the Blue Devils. But we don’t feel that way. Duke has dropped 3 of its last 4 games outright and haven’t impressed us on the road all year. This is a team that has dropped 4 of 8 true road games this season. 

Georgia Tech is having a poor season at 11-13 and just 4-7 in league play. It has dropped 6 of 7 heading into this contest. Other than a road game at Virginia, this is the only contest in which the Yellow Jackets can make a name for itself before the regular season ends. And you know it has a huge chip on its shoulder after losing to Duke last year by a whopping 53 points! You know this team has had this game circled, and the Blue Devils have proven themselves to be a beatable team on the road.

PLAY GEORGIA TECH

551 North Carolina at NC State

Coming off the statement win over Duke many will look for a letdown here vs the Wolfpack. But keep in mind that NC State just beat the Tar Heels 95-91 just two weeks ago in North Carolina. It’s one of two home losses on the season and the only chance this team has for home loss revenge. 

NC has dominated this series winning 16 of 20 outright and cashing 14 of those meetings. The line is short and the revenge is there. 

PLAY NORTH CAROLINA

818 Portland at Sacramento

The Blazers are playing its 11th straight game in a different city tonight when it travels to Sacramento. It doesn’t help that Portland had to go to overtime last night to beat Charlotte. This is also the fifth game in eight days for the visitor. 

Sacramento on the other hand finishes off a four game home stand. The Kings haven’t left Sacramento for a game since January 30th. The Kings enter play having won four of its last seven games. This is a terrific spot for Sacramento to keep that streak alive.

PLAY SACRAMENTO

544 Old Dominion at Southern Miss

OD is a solid 8-2 in conference action and just knocked off a pretty good UAB squad. The Monarchs haven’t fared especially well against Southern Miss, splitting four games straight up and dropping three of those games ATS. 

The Golden Eagles are a full seven points better playing at home than on the road. In fact, Southern Miss is undefeated on this court this season. Off a confidence building win at Florida Atlantic we will take our chances on a solid home dog tonight.

PLAY SOUTHERN MISS

757 Texas A&M at Auburn

Now that the best defensive team in the league is finally healthy, we expect the Aggies to be a bet on team. A&M has taken the last two meetings in this series and matches up very well with the Tigers. Auburn is a fan favorite squad as its been a cash machine thus far, which gives us plenty of value in this current line. The sharp books are leaning with the dog here and we agree. 

PLAY TEXAS A&M

554 Nebraska at Minnesota

Huskers have been a major money makers this year posting a 17-6 spread mark. Nebraska has won three straight and enters tonight at 8-4 in Big 10 play. It beat Minnesota 78-68 at home in its earlier meeting. 

Minnesota is just 14-11 overall and 3-9 in conference. It enters this game having lost 8 of its last 9 games. Yet the line has moved from Minnesota -1 to -3.5, despite the fact that 68% of the bets and money have been on the underdog. Big money is on the host and we agree as fading early season money makers at this point of the season is the way to go.

PLAY MINNESOTA

720 West Virginia at Oklahoma

The Mountaineers have lost 5 of its last 7 games, with the only two victories coming at home. Our numbers say that this team plays a full 9 points better at home than away. West Virginia had success trapping and slowing down Trey Young in Morgantown, but we don’t expect the same type of success when playing on the road. 

Oklahoma plays 5 points better at home than on the road, and enter this contest having dropped 4 of 6 overall. But this is an unedited home court and the Sooners are looking for in-season revenge. 

PLAY OKLAHOMA

101 Philadelphia & New England in Minnesota

The Patriots haven’t had great success winning Super Bowl’s by margins. That looks to be something that holds true here. A lot of the reason for the Patriot’s success over the last two decades is playing in the worst division in football. If New England takes care of business against the Jets, Bills and Dolphins, it can very easily get home field advantage throughout the AFC playoffs. When having to go on the road and win in the postseason the Pats are simply not the same team.

Philadelphia has the best unit on the field, its defense. And the offense can move the ball on a Pats defense that is rather weak considering the level of competition it played this season. 

PLAY PHILADELPHIA

Here are five props we played in the offshore market at the same well known sports book. We could give you a ton of worthy plays in Las Vegas, but since most don’t live here it would be a waste of our time.

1st Score TD -158

Total FG Under 3.5 -135

Total FG Under 4.5 -325

No Safety -1058

Winning margin exactly 3 No -437

As I mentioned, you can get these and others at much better prices if you are in Vegas. If so, shop around. 

694 San Francisco at Santa Clara

Home revenge game for the Dons, but with a 12-12 mark including 4-7 in conference, how much extra effort will San Francisco bring? After all it has dropped 5 of the last 6 meetings in this series. 

Despite an 8-15 record the Broncos have been better in conference with a 5-6 mark. Coming in off four straight double digit home losses you know this club will be fired up for this contest. The number is favorable and we will back the Broncos here.

PLAY SANTA CLARA

814 Utah at Phoenix

Sorry for the delay on this one. Wanted to send this out at what I thought would be the peak number. Utah just crushed the Warriors and Phoenix just let go of a well known player. Expectations are lower now on the Suns than at any other time this year. That’s when we step in and go against the Jazz in a letdown spot.

PLAY PHOENIX

566 Arizona State at Washington

The Sun Devils came out of the gate winning 12 straight games to become highly ranked. It was a major surprise for a team expected to be a low finishing team in the PAC 12. But since that time Arizona State has compiled a 4-5 mark, all in league action. 

Washington has put up a 15-6 seasonal mark mostly as an afterthought. But at 5-3 in the league the Huskies are in better shape right now than the visitor. At home the Huskies are 14-5 SU vs the Sun Devils, overall holding a 27-14 SU mark in this series. We will back the home dog here against a fading Arizona State squad.

PLAY WASHINGTON

760 Texas at Texas Tech

While the Longhorns have dominated this series having won 15 of the last 20 meetings. We will side with the home favorite here. 

By our records the Longhorns have been over 5 points better at home than on the road. In fact, Texas has lost three straight on the road to West Virginia, Oklahoma State and Baylor. Off back to back wins, and hosting the talk of college basketball Trey Young next game, we can see this team lacking focus here.

Texas Tech is 17-4 overall with one of those losses coming to this Texas team 67-58. It’s the first revenge game of the season for the Red Raiders. As with Texas the Red Raiders are more than 5 points better at home. This will be a home dominated series and Texas Tech gets its revenge.

PLAY TEXAS TECH

745 Northern Iowa at Evansville

Northern Iowa has beaten Evansville four out of the last five meetings. The Panthers were just blown out at Loyola Chicago 70-47 for its worst loss of the season. 

Evansville at 14-9 just beat Drake and Valparaiso, but is still 4-6 in conference. Nice spot here for a Northern Iowa squad we feel should be favored.

PLAY NORTHERN IOWA

533 Ball State at Toledo

The Cardinal are 3-7 SU on the road this year and the Rockets enter play here having won seven straight games. Yet the early money has been on the road dog, and we agree. Despite the 15-6 overall mark and 7-1 record in the MAC, we view this Rockets team as overrated. Toledo just blew out Bowling Green by 26 last time out, so we can see this team fat and happy here. But keep in mind most of the success for the Rockets has been on the road. We will follow the line move and back the Cardinals.

PLAY BALL STATE

713 Northwestern at Michigan

The Wolverines have struggled somewhat as of late, dropping 3 of 6 entering this contest. It just played a barnburner at Purdue on Thursday, the second game against the Boilermakers this season. Michigan has beaten up on the weak teams in the conference, but we really like this Northwestern squad. The record is only 13-9 but the Wildcats faced the likes of Creighton, Texas Tech and Oklahoma out of conference. These two teams are closer in our ratings than this line suggests.

PLAY NORTHWESTERN

837 Northern Iowa at Loyola Chicago

At 11-10 and 3-6 in conference this has been a down season for the Panthers. But the team has won 3 of 4 entering this contest.

The Ramblers are in a bad scheduling spot here. It plays lowly Northern Iowa and has big games on deck against Bradley and Missouri State, two 15 win teams. Currently on a six game winning streak, and having already beat Northern Iowa on the road, this is the spot to go against the better team.

PLAY NORTHERN IOWA

625 Oakland at Wright State

The Grizzlies are starting to make a run in the Horizon League. Now 6-3 in conference after winning its fifth straight game on Friday. That was good news for our clients and we expect a repeat here. Oakland has two home losses on the season, Northern Kentucky and Wright State. The Grizzlies revenged the Norse and now the Raiders are in their sights.

Wright State sits at 8-1 in conference and is coming in off a 32 point blowout of Detroit. This line tells us the betting markets say Oakland is the better team, we agree.

PLAY OAKLAND

637 Wake Forest at Louisville

A down season for the Demon Deacons has gotten worse as of late as it enters play tonight on a six game losing streak. But keep in mind it just played Duke twice, Virginia, NC State and Virginia Tech the last five games. Wake has been more competitive on the road this season.

Louisville is 15-5 and just lost at Miami Florida. Most will assume a big bounce back from the Cardinals here, especially playing on a one loss home court. But Louisville has a date with Virginia on deck, and this team needs a signature win. Nice spot for the dog to take this one deep.

PLAY WAKE FOREST

641 Georgetown at Creighton

The Hoyas played one of the easiest schedules in the country before league play started, and came into Big East play totally overrated. As expected Georgetown is now 3-6 in league play, having just dropped 2 of 3 at home. Now back on the road this team finally shows some betting value.

Creighton is 16-5 on the season and undefeated on this home court. It already beat the Hoyas by 24 in Georgetown. Up on deck? The #1 Villanova Wildcats. Massive lookahead spot here for the host. 

PLAY GEORGETOWN

647 Cal Poly at UC Davis

This handicap is quite simple. The Mustangs of Cal Poly have dropped 10 of 12 and sit 1-5 in the Big West Conference. They are an afterthought in the betting markets as well as for opponents. Off back to back double digit losses nobody will want any part of this team, which is where we step in.

UC Davis is 13-7 on the season and 4-2 in league play. It’s right in the midst of playing Cal Poly here and a home and home against Cal Northridge, who they just beat 63-56 at home on Thursday. This is an undefeated home team that is all fat and happy heading into tonight. 

PLAY CAL POLY

547 Texas State at Georgia State

Big battle in the Sun Belt Conference Saturday afternoon. The Bobcats at 7-2 in conference have played better ball away from home this season, an impressive 6-6 straight up mark. Only one of the losses was by more than todays spread. 

Georgia State is the hotter team having won six straight heading into this contest. But our numbers show the line to be inflated. We will take the points with the talented dog.

PLAY TEXAS STATE

539 Elon at Towson

The Phoenix were once 3-1 in conference but have dropped three straight games.  Now it heads on the road to play Towson, a team it beat at home 75-72. 

Towson enters play at 15-7 overall but loaded up on weaklings in non-conference play. The Tigers are just 5-4 in the CAA and are off an impressive win over William & Mary. Early start home games don’t have the sam home court edge as games played at night. Plenty of margin here for the road dog.

PLAY ELON

831 Oakland at Northern Kentucky

The Grizzlies have had a great deal of success in the Horizon League over the years, and enter play at 5-3 in conference. It is looking to avenge an 87-83 home loss earlier this season. Oakland has only lost two home games all year, and enter here after winning four straight contests overall.

The Norse have a 7-1 mark in conference with the only loss coming to Wright State. Northern returns home off back to back road wins against the two Milwaukee schools. 

With Oakland being two games behind in the conference standings and having already lost to the Norse, this becomes a must win game for the Grizzlies. We like this team and expect this contest to go to the wire.

PLAY OAKLAND

603 Indiana at Cleveland

Why go away from something that has been so successful? The Cavaliers stink right now and the betting public has been slow to react. This line is simply too high right now for a team playing without any heart. The only consistent player over the last month is Wade, and he’s not with the team today because of a personal problem. 

Indiana has won all three meetings this season and have a 7-3 record as of late against the entire league. The Pacers are 19-5 this season when hitting at least 10 3 pointers a game. Against the Cavs they have made 16, 15 and 10 in the previous meetings. Cleveland has been terrible defending the perimeter all season.

PLAY INDIANA

559 Cal Northridge at UC Davis

Northridge lost 11 straight to start the season after winning against Life Pacific in its opener. Since that time the Matadors are 4-3 including winning its last two contests. In fact, all four of those wins were by 9 points or more.

The Aggies return to the mainland after a 77-72 loss at Hawaii. After winning the last four meetings in this series the line is a bit inflated. We will back the improving Matadors to stay under this generous number.

PLAY CAL NORTHRIDGE

775 Mercer at East Tennessee State

Despite a 10-10 record Mercer has been a money during 4-9 ATS on the season. But the Bears have won 3 of 4 heading into this contest with the only loss coming by 4 to 14-5 NC Greensboro. On the season Mercer has a 3.9 average scoring margin per game. 

East Tennessee State comes into this contest on fire, winning 14 of 15, but has 14-5 Wofford on deck. Despite the records these two teams are closer in talent than this line suggests.

PLAY MERCER

519 Vanderbilt at Tennessee

It has been a bad season for the Commodores entering here with a 7-12 mark on the year. It’s looked especially ugly on the road which is why this line is where it is. But this team has played well in this series winning straight up the last two times in this building. In fact, this has been a road dominated series the past three seasons.

Tennessee just beat Vandy on the road by 9 just two weeks ago. No special reason for this team to get up here. It just beat South Carolina by 7, and has a road game at Iowa State on deck. We will take the generous points with a road dog everyone else has written off.

PLAY VANDERBILT

511 Providence at Villanova

Friars playing much better ball as of late, winning four straight heading into this contest. The last two victories coming by double digits. Providence has cashed 4 of the last 5 in this series, including both meetings here the last two years.

The Wildcats are 13-6 ATS on the season but just 3-3 ATS playing at home. Coming off back to back 20+ victories we can’t see the better team being up for this contest. 

PLAY PROVIDENCE

702 Sacramento at Charlotte

Since the Kings management made the decision to start the youngsters the team hasn’t won a game. Now rookie Giles is out for the season to shorten an already lineup with a lack of talent. The closest Kings loss as of late by by 6 points at home against the Clippers. A more reasonable chance for victory comes tomorrow at Orlando.

The Hornets let a game slip away on Saturday as it blew a late lead against the Heat. This is the third of a five game homestead for Charlotte. We look for the host to make a statement here after watching victory slip through its hands late.

PLAY CHARLOTTE

313 Minnesota at Philadelphia

Better get this one up now before any more money comes in on the host. Simply put we want no part of a dome team playing on the road outside in the playoffs. It’s been a terrible situation historically and we saw it again last week with Atlanta. Home field means so much in this matchup, and to catch the host as an underdog is a no brainer. Foles has a history of being a productive quarterback over the years and his short sample size this season has given us strong line value.

PLAY PHILADELPHIA

628 Tennessee at South Carolina

Line here is a bit high in our opinion based on the lack of success by the Volunteers on the road. Just 3-2 SU away from home as this team has feasted on home cooking all season. Just once in five road games did Tennessee win by more than seven points. 

South Carolina had a huge comeback win against Kentucky last time out. That should be a positive momentum situation for a program that went deep into the tourney a year ago. Just one home loss for the Gamecocks on the season gives us even more confidence.

PLAY SOUITH CAROLINA

815 St Bonaventure at Davidson

Very important game for the Bonnies who have lost all three road games in conference and enter here 2-3 overall. St Bonaventure is an excellent 3 point defending team which is what Davidson does best. This series is tied 4-4 and we actually rate St Bonaventure as the slightly better team. After facing Dayton, St Josephs and Rhode Island on the road the Bonnies have been tested. It’s also a veteran team that should bounce back here before a home revenge game against St Josephs.

The Wildcats are a solid 4-1 in conference play, but none of its opponents currently have a winning mark on the season. Coming off blowout wins by margins of 30, 27 and 27 points, the Wildcats step up in class tonight.

PLAY ST BONAVENTURE

563 Pepperdine at Pacific

The Waves have been bad this season with an 0-6 conference record and just 3-15 overall. It’s riding a nine game losing streak entering this contest, having lost by double digits in four straight. But as Lee Corso would say “Not so Fast”. 

Over the last five games the Wave have played teams with a combined 71-23 record. Tonights opponent is just 9-10 on the year. 

The Tigers are off three straight victories and face three heavyweights after this contest. St Mary, San Francisco and BYU. Terrible spot for the host while the visitor drops down in class.

PLAY PEPPERDINE

709 Miami at Milwaukee

Quick revenge for the Bucks here after losing to Miami 97-79 on the road just three days ago. But in looking over the Milwaukee schedule we see 11 of the last 12 games being played against current playoff squads, with another on deck. Having to get up every single game to play the best teams in the league is a chore. 

Miami is now 12-5 SU off a SU loss this season. They lost at Chicago Monday after winning seven straight games. Coincidently we had Miami in that contest, our only loss in any sport this week. But we have the Heat being the slightly better team here and we prefer the Miami coaching staff which has done a terrific job the last full year here in Miami. The Heat are on a 6-2 SU run on the road and we really like the way this team is playing.

PLAY MIAMI

536 Drake at Northern Iowa

Many will look at this game and see the 5-1 in conference Bulldogs catching points at the 1-5 Panthers as a lock. But there is much more than wins and losses in handicapping sports. Drake is just 11-8 on the season, while Northern Iowa is 9-9. But the Panthers faced the likes of North Carolina, NC State, Villanova, UNLV, Texas Arlington, Iowa State and Xavier. 

The coaching staff made a surprising move last time out putting a talented freshman in the starting lineup at center, and dropping its leading scorer to the bench. For a coach to do such a thing tells us that its the right move to spark this squad. Northern Iowa in turn beat Valparaiso 81-76, breaking a seven game losing streak. Now with its back against the wall we expect these Panthers to be on the prowl. Our numbers show the Panthers to be 48 places better than the Bulldogs, and because of the way these two started the conference season the line is cheap.

PLAY NORTHERN IOWA

711 Miami at Chicago

The Heat have been excellent in the second of back to back games and enter this affair on a seven game winning streak. Miami has already beaten the Bulls twice this year by 6 and 7 points. Chicago has dropped 5 of 8 after that surprising winning streak in December. We will back the veteran Heat here.

PLAY MIAMI

305 Jacksonville at Pittsburgh

The last time these two met the Jaguars dominated as Big Ben had a career worst game. So what has changed since that meeting? Not enough to make us want to back the Steelers here. In fact, because of the Brown injury Jacksonville should be better able to take advantage of the Steelers here. 

Jacksonville has a terrific pass defense and yet the Steelers brain trust tried to pass all over it in the first meeting. The correct game plan for Pittsburgh would be to run the ball as much as possible. But are they perceptive enough to stick with it through the entire game? We don’t believe so, as this team is too accustomed to having its way through the air. And that plays right into the hands of the touchdown underdog. 

PLAY JACKSONVILLE

302 Atlanta at Philadelphia

Too much is being made about the quarterback advantage for the Falcons here. It’s just one position on the field and it’s getting too much play in this line. The best unit on the field is the Philadelphia defense. The Eagles are also playing at home off a bye week. Atlanta is a dome team playing outside in cold weather on a strong home field for the host. While Ryan wins the QB battle, the Eagles win the game.

PLAY PHILADELPHIA

802 Cleveland at Indiana

The Cavaliers have allowed its three highest point totals in the last three games. It has Golden State on deck and have lost to Indiana both times it faced the Pacers this year. Cleveland ranks 29th in the NBA in defensive efficiency and the offense is still trying to adjust with new players in new roles. 

The Pacers are finishing four game home stand after beating Chicago and Milwaukee, before losing to the Heat last night. With six straight games against Western Conference foes on deck, this is the game the Pacers have circled.

PLAY INDIANA

504 Cleveland at Toronto

The Cavs are off a terrible defensive game at Minnesota, and the Raptors are without two of its best players. The current line is saying that those differences are worth 10 1/2 points to the spread, which is ridiculous. 

Cleveland has been bad defensively all season and now with Thomas in the lineup the numbers should get worse, not better. With Ibaka and Lowry out of the lineup the numbers actually get better for Toronto. Sure its a small sample size, and nobody is saying the team is better without these two. But the loss isn’t nearly as drastic as this line suggests. Throw in the fact that the Raptors have playoff revenge against the Cavaliers, and we have a solid play on the host here.

PLAY TORONTO 

780 Unlv at Air Force

The Rebels haven’t won at Air Force since 2014 and were crushed in this building a year ago. Because off all the instability in the program virtually all the players will be playing here for the first time tonight. UNLV likes to get out and run, which is why it was so successful early on in non-conference action. The Rebels played a vast majority of its games at home. Now that conference play has started the opposition isn’t letting the Rebels show its athleticism. 

Air Force is always tough at home and enters play tonight 0-3 in the Mountain west Conference. This is a club that is hard to prepare for because of the style of play it uses. This line is way too high for a struggling Rebels team to lay.

PLAY AIR FORCE

529 Texas Tech at Oklahoma

While Tre Young got his points on Saturday against West Virginia, the Mountaineers really made him work for it. It was the first real defense Oklahoma faced and the Sooners despite giving their all were simply outworked. We look for more of the same here from an excellent Texas Tech defense that will look to slow down the pace and get physical with the young superstar. 

PLAY TEXAS TECH

102 Tennessee at Kansas City

We want no part of the Titans today playing on the road. There were two teams in the playoffs that were outscored in the regular season, Buffalo and Tennessee. Mariota has been a turnover machine, especially on the road.

Kansas City doesn’t turn the ball over and wins with defense and running the ball. Smith has been one of the top quarterbacks in the league this season by quarterback rating. He’s been able to extend the field by throwing longer passes this season. This line is being held down somewhat by the Chiefs prior playoff failures. While that may be the case in following weeks it’s not going to prevent KC in this matchup.

PLAY KANSAS CITY

809 Chicago at Dallas

Can’t ignore the massive improvements from the Bulls despite dropping three straight entering this contest. The last time Chicago lost to a team not in the current playoff race was way back on December 1st against Sacramento. That’s 17 straight games with the only losses coming to postseason type opposition. 

Dallas at 13-26 is far removed from the playoffs. Coming off a hard fought 125-122 loss to the Warriors just two days ago, we can’t see the Mavericks winning this one by a margin.

PLAY CHICAGO

504 Oklahoma City at LA Clippers

While the Thunder are playing the second game of a back to back, it was on this same court in a blowout win over the shorthanded Lakers. Oklahoma City has been playing better ball but the Clippers streak has gone unnoticed. LA has won 6 of 7 with the lone loss coming by 3 at Memphis. The Clips have been straight up winners at home the past six outings, in addition to a 10 point victory at Houston. This is a team under the radar now and we take full advantage of the rested home squad.

PLAY LA CLIPPERS

792 Western Illinois at South Dakota

Western Illinois has played the 342nd toughest schedule, while South Dakota comes in at #154. The Leathernecks have beaten the likes of Lincoln Christian, Calvary University and St Mary’s Minnesota. A 25 point loss to Iowa State and a 61 point loss to Butler tell you all you need to know about this squad. Despite playing the tenth easiest schedule in the nation, the Leathernecks are being outscored by 4.4 points per game.

South Dakota comes into play at 13-4 on the season while playing almost 200 spots stronger opposition. The four losses came against teams a combined 47-9. This one should be a blowout for the host.

PLAY SOUTH DAKOTA

745 George Washington at Duquesne

Big strength of schedule mismatch for the visitor as GW comes in at #113 while Duquesne sits at #335. The Colonials are 8-6 on the season but the losses came against teams with a combined record of 68-18. Despite playing such a strong schedule three of the six losses were by single digits, with the largest defeat coming by 20 points.

The combined record of the teams the Dukes have lost to is just 30-27. Duquesne has beaten up on the Maryland Eastern Shores and the Delaware State’s of college basketball. This isn’t North Carolina A&T tonight.

PLAY GEORGE WASHINGTON

582 Georgetown at Marquette

The Hoyas have played the 314th hardest schedule while Marquette sits at the 38th strongest. We’ve been looking for a nice spot to fade the 10-2 Hoyas and this is it. In 12 games Georgetown has played away from home just once, at Richmond. 11 of the 12 games were played on the Hoyas home court, not even a neutral site game on the schedule. 

Marquette has already faced Purdue, VCA, Wichita State, LSU, Georgia, Wisconsin and Xavier. Last time out it dropped a 91-87 home game to the Musketeers. Now this squad gets to face an overrated opponent before heading to the road to face Providence and Villanova. Great spot for the host.

PLAY MARQUETTE 

563 Dayton at Duquesne

The Flyers have played the 93rd best strength of schedule in the country. Duquesne has played the 342nd. Dayton is 6-6 on the season while the Dukes are 9-4. 

This is a major step up in class for the host while Dayton has already faced the likes of Hofstra, Auburn, Mississippi State, Penn and St Mary’s. The Flyers are the superior team and have the better ball movement. They will find many open shots in this contest.

PLAY DAYTON

844 UL Monroe at Arkansas State

The Warhawks come into this contest with a 6-5 record. But those wins have come against SE Louisiana, Rust College, Jackson State, Grambling State, Milksops and Centenary. All six of those victories were also played at home. All four road games resulted in losses by margins of 10, 18, 3 and 19. 

Arkansas State has a full week to get ready for this contest. Coming in with a lesser 5-8 record but facing a more potent schedule. The Red Wolves are 4-1 SU at home with wins by margins of 14, 14, 14 and 31 points. 

PLAY ARKANSAS STATE

828 Texas State at Appalachian State

The Bobcats have played a schedule 125 places weaker than that of App State. This is its 2nd of three straight road games after beating Rice 74-66 a week ago. 

App State has the lesser record but has faced a far superior schedule. Games against Iowa State, UTEP, James Madison, VCU and Ohio State have toughened up this Mountaineers bunch. Now back home after four straight games away, with a full eight days to get ready for this contest. Playing on an undefeated home court we will lay the small number with the better team.

PLAY APPALACHIAN STATE

358 Southern Miss at Marshall

The Golden Eagles have played a schedule 100 places easier than that of the Thundering Herd. Wins over the likes of Southern-New Orleans, Blue Mountain College, Rust College, Alabama A&M and William Carey will not prepare this team for league play. 

Marshall has taken on some cupcakes as well but did face Illinois, William & Mary and Xavier. This team is a perfect 8-0 SU at home and haven’t played since the 22nd. The Thundering Herd have scored at least 83 points in all but one home contest, six times reaching 90 or better. 

Despite the easy schedule Southern Miss is allowing 7.9 more points per game than it produces. Look for a big offensive game from the host. 

PLAY MARSHALL

706 Washington at Atlanta

Sandwich spot for the Wizards who are off a physical game last night in Boston, along with a home game against Houston on deck. The Wizards beat Boston last night 111-103, a game it needed to have against one of the best teams in the East. Now Washington faces a down Atlanta team that it beat by 19 in its only other meeting.

Atlanta is at home for its fourth of five games after outlasting the Mavericks. The Hawks have had three straight days of rest before playing three games in four days. The spot screams home underdog and we agree.

PLAY ATLANTA

511 Utah at Denver

Must win game here for the Jazz who have already taken care of the Nuggets twice this season. Coming into this contest having dropped 8 of 10, and facing Golden State and Cleveland up next. While it’s true Utah has come up short as of late, they have faced Oklahoma City twice, San Antonio, Houston, Cleveland and Boston the past six games. 

Denver is coming off a victory over Golden State, but the Warriors were looking past the Nuggets to yesterdays rematch with the Cavaliers.

PLAY UTAH

128 Seattle at Dallas

The Seahawks have scored a combined 17 first half points over the last four games. They continually play from behind because the defense is battered and bruised. It’s just not the same healthy defense that has been so dominant the past few seasons. The loss to the Rams last week was totally embarrassment, which you would expect a rebound from. But keep in mind that this is a team that entered the season expecting to go deep into the playoffs. Now it’s virtually shutout of the postseason. What type of effort will the players give knowing it has nothing to play for.

Dallas gets Zeke back today and other than a quarterback he’s the most valuable skill position player in the league. In his last six games before the suspension the Boys scored 28, 33, 40, 31, 30 and 28 points. With him out of the lineup Dallas averaged 18.3 ppg. The defense has held the opposition to 17, 10 and 14 points the past three weeks. This is a cheap number for the Cowboys.

PLAY DALLAS

840 Texas State at Rice

Texas State has played the 318th easiest schedule in the country while posting a 6-6 record. The Bobcats have already lost on the road at Air Force and Houston Baptist. Wins have come against the likes of Texas Pan American, Arkansas Pine Bluff, Texas A&M CC, McMurry and Ecclesia College. Despite such a cupcake schedule this team is outscoring the opposition by only 0.8 points per game. 

Rice comes in with a 3-9 mark but has played the likes of UNLV, Mississippi, Texas Tech and New Mexico. This is just the sixth home game for the Owls this season, and the only game here in a five game span. The Owls should give extreme effort in this one with Texas San Antonio and UTEP on deck.

PLAY RICE