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Stephen Nover

I have had only two losing season in pro football in my handicapping career. I have the best sources in the business thanks to more than 25 years as a sportswriter, handicapper and analyst.

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YESTERDAY'S PLAYS

Match Up	Pick	Rating	Score	Result	Profit	Analysis
Astros vs A's	UNDER 9 -102	Top Premium	1-2	Win	100	Show
The Astros shut down the A's hot offense on Tuesday and I see them doing it again on Wednesday behind veteran Wade Miley and an elite bullpen. Miley is 5-1 with a 1.40 ERA in six career starts against Oakland. The A's have a strong bullpen, too, and are going with promising Frankie Montas, who just beat the Orioles, 10-3, this past Wednesday. Montas is 2-1 with a 3.18 ERA. Much of the Astros' power is negated by Oakland Coliseum being such a strong pitcher's park.
Giants vs Nationals	Nationals -129	Premium	6-9	Win	100	Show
Jeremy Hellickson is an underrated pitcher being on a Nationals starting rotation that features Max Scherzer, Stephen Strasburg and Patrick Corbin. Hellickson has the lowest ERA of those three at 2.25. Washington is 4-0 in Hellickson's last four home starts. The Giants are not a good road club. They've dropped 21 of their last 29 away matchups. Jeff Samardzija gets the start for San Francisco. He's coming off a rare gem, a 1-0 home win against the Rockies this past Wednesday. Samardzija hasn't proven nearly so effective on the road and against the Nationals. He is 0-6 with a 7.39 ERA in his last six starts versus Washington. San Francisco is 2-8 in Samardzija's last 10 starts. The Giants are 0-5 in his past five away starts.
Royals vs White Sox	UNDER 9 -110	Premium	4-3	Win	100	Show
Lucas Giolito has been a huge disappointment given his vast potential. But there is one team Giolito has been able to dominate - the Royals. He is 4-0 with a 2.40 ERA in seven career outings versus Kansas City. The Royals are batting .184 against him. Giolito no-hit the Royals for six innings during his last start against them on March 31. Royals starter Brad Keller is pitching well this season and is 3-1 with a 2.90 ERA in eight career appearances against the White Sox, including five starts. Keller is coming off a career-high 10 strikeouts in a victory against the Indians during his previous start.
Flames vs Avalanche	OVER 6 -105	Premium	2-3	Loss	-105	Show
Down 2-1 in the series, the Flames are going to be going all out here. That means attack and playing up-tempo. The Flames were the No. 3 scoring team in the league during the regular season averaging 3.5 goals a game. Yet they've been held to two goals during each of the past two games. Colorado is mediocre at best defensively. So I see the Flames holding up their end in making this Over work. Things are clicking offensively now for the Avalanche. They have produced nine goals in the last two games, firing 56 shots on net in Game 3. Their power play is back to being highly dangerous. The Over is 3-1-1 the last five times the teams have met.
Bruins vs Maple Leafs	Bruins +109	Premium	6-4	Win	109	Show
This series has the feel of a zig-zag type of scenario. The Bruins are down 2-1. Their top line of Patrice Bergerson, David Pastrnak and Brad Marchand haven't played well in the series. These guys are too good, though, to stay down especially given their strong history versus the Maple Leafs. I see the Bruins doing what they have to do - forechecking and slowing down the Leafs by controling the puck while getting better play from their No. 1 line - to even the series. Boston has won five of its last seven road games and is 15-5 when playing on one day's rest. Keep in mind the Maple Leafs are without suspended Nazem Kadri.

PICKS IN PROGRESS

Apr 18 '19, 8:05 PM

Play Type: Premium Pick

NBA | 76ers vs Nets

Play on: UNDER 227½ -101

Game Analysis

It's easy to envision a high scoring game here after the 76ers buried the Nets, 145-123, on Monday in Game 2. But there is one key factor to consider: Jared Dudley is expected to play for the Nets. He missed Monday's game because of a sore calf. Dudley played in Game 1 and the Nets upset the 76ers, 111-102, with that total going Under by 13 1/2 points. Dudley's defense on Ben Simmons was huge in that Game 1 win for the Nets as Simmons could manage just nine points. Simmons posted a triple/double in Game 2 without Dudley to hound and frustrate him. Prior to Monday's loss to Philadelphia, Brooklyn had given up an average of 97.3 points in its last three games. The Nets have gone Under in six of their last seven home games. The Nets are sure to have their defensive intensity going as this is their first home playoff game since 2015. It would be a huge added bonus for the Under if Joel Embiid can't go for the 76ers. Embiid is dealing with a sore knee.

Pick Released on Apr 18 at 03:33 am

SERVICE BIO

Sports gaming writer for Las Vegas Review-Journal 1984-1997. Professional handicapper since 1999. Author of three books - Las Vegas Sportsbeat, Sportsgaming Beat, Winning Fantasy Football. Taught sports betting at UNLV. Former co-host of the Sunday Night Stardust Line sports gaming radio show. Was part-time oddsmaker and analyst for Roxy Roxborough. Recognized NFL expert with 21 of 23 winning seasons.

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