Cappers Sports Picks

The Sunday night power play is on New England. Game 476 at 8:30 eastern. The public is already hitting the Falcons hard with super bowl loss revenge. However, this Atlanta team still shows the propensity to choke. Last wek as a 14 point favorite with a 17-0 lead they managed to come out of the locker room like zombies and lose to an average Miami team and off a bye week and another blown lead loss prior at home to Buffalo. Now they take to the road in New England another AFC East Team. Road teams off a -7 or higher home favored loss where they were up 14 or more at the half are 0-7 and 1-6 ats . The Patriots are 6-1 ats off a Jets game. The Patriots are 15-0 Ats on turf vs non-divisional opponent that is averaging 13+ passing first downs per game, including last season's super bowl vs the Falcons. The Falcons are 0-10 Ats on turf and after a loss in which they were leading at the end of the 3rd quarter. Play on New England tonight.

The AFC West power system play is on the Denver Broncos. Game 473 at 4:25 eastern. The Broncos fit a solid system that p;lays on teams that are not laying 4+ points in the first of a 3+ game road trip. Denver takes to the road off a double digit home favored loss to the Giants. They are 9-4 as a dog and the Chargers are 2-9 with road loss revenge and have failed to cover 14 of the last 19 at home. Over the last 16 season road teams from +3 to -3 that are off a -10 or higher home favored loss and failed to cover by 21 or more are 9-0 straight up and ats in conference games. Look for Denver to bounce back

The NFL Totals system is on the under in the Dallas at SF Game. Rotation numbers 469/470 at 4:05 eastern. Dallas fits a huge bye week system that pertains to the under for teams that allowed 30 or more points in back to back games before their bye week of the total is 39 or higher. SF has a new Qb in and while they played well in Washington we think they will sputter here at home against a rested Dallas defense that will have made adjustments. Home dogs like the Niners that lost by 1-3 points as road dog of 10 or more while allowing 21 or more have stayed under all 8 times the last 28 years Dallas has stayed under in 9 of 10 vs losing teams. SF has stayed under in 5 of 7 as a home dog in this range. Look for this game to stay under

NFL off shore steam move at 4:25 eastern. Rotation numbers 455/456- UNDER Bengals vs Steelers. This game was hit with a jumbo buy order. Also consider that road dogs off a bye week and a previous home win are 11-0 under vs a team off a road dog win like the Steelers. Move on the under in this one

The early power system play is on the Tennessee Titans. Game 451 at 1:00 eastern. The Titans fit an exclusive We use that plays on road favorites off a Monday night division home win if they scored 21 or more points vs a team off a road dog loss. These road warrior are 9-0and win by an average 12 points. In fact any road team regardless of the spread is 16-1 ats. The Titans have covered 7 of 10 in Cleveland.The Titans are 14-0 Ats when they are off a home game that they did not lose by more than 24 points and they are visiting a non-divisional opponent that is scoring on 30% or less of their drives. The Browns are winless and have failed to cover 24 of 31 as a dog and 7 of 8 at home if the total is 45.5 to 49. Remember the Titans here today.

The NFL power system play is on Carolina. Game 463 at 1;00 eastern. The Panthers blew the lead and lost last Thursday at home to Philly. Conference road favorites off a -3 or higher home favored loss on a Thursday are 100%  straight up and ats since 1989 and win by an average 15 points per game. The Panthers have the extra rest and are 6-1 ats if the total is 35 to 42 and have covered 5 of 5 in Chicago. With home dogs winless Straight up and ats off a road dog over time win vs an opponent off a home loss losing by an average 31-14 score. We will play on Carolina.